Thursday, October 15, 2009

Seems Like Wednesday

Not much is going on ... the semi-holiday on Monday had made today a slow news day.

Corruption continues: WSJ - "America's largest public-pension fund, Calpers, revealed that a former board member had reaped more than $50 million in fees for arranging investments that could saddle state taxpayers with hundreds of millions of dollars in losses. The disclosure deepens concerns that alleged conflicts of interest are undermining state retirement funds."

New Ways Still Fail: WSJ - "Fewer than four of 10 fourth- and eighth-graders are proficient in mathematics, according to a highly regarded federal test given in early 2009, adding to recent evidence that the U.S. drive to become more economically competitive by overhauling public education may be falling short."

I suppose spending half their young lives playing video and other electronic games is part of the problem.

Perky Overseas Business: FT - "A Hong Kong property developer has sold a duplex apartment for a world record price, less than three months after the territory technically emerged from recession."

Don't be Americo-centric, listening only to US doomsayers. FT - "The recovery in China’s economy gained new impetus on Wednesday with figures showing a sharp improvement in the country’s exports and imports in September. The trade surplus also fell last month, providing evidence of some rebalancing of the economy at a time of persistent trade tensions over cheap goods from China, which is likely to become the world’s biggest exporter this year. "

Actions

I took some "sugar" yesterday as the strategy and tactics of the call option book paid off, for the correct reasons, no less. Specifically, good earnings at companies with significant overseas revenues were reported and continue to be anticipated. I sold the CAT calls for a 100% profit. A few days ago I had sold the GOOG calls for 100%+ profit, too. I plan to hold the rest for their earnings reports, but if they ramp up prior thereto, I'll take the sugar.

Dow 10,000 means nothing. A recovery of S&P 1200 does mean something, as that is the pre-panic, pre-beefer-Viking raid level.

Word of the Day

"Malefactor" - noun [$10]
Malefactor means a criminal, an evildoer.
Sentence: More and more malefactors are exposed in the world of finance. A crisis removes the easy money, so covering up their wicked schemes becomes impossible.

53 comments:

  1. uhhhh...........didn't the 'beefer vikings' have anythin to do with the market surge to all time highs in 2007 ??


    you luv them when they buy...............but if they sell and take profits............it becomes a raid


    what a bunch of thumping tosh

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  2. what a monster quarter from GS.............who knew guttin their own beefer was so profitable




    PS.......GS goin to 200??

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  3. good work Bman............i like it.........trading ......ping-pong.....beefer style



    nic nie robiÄ™ my ass

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  4. dollar down 25% since 2000............and my purchasing power ain't goin down ????




    what a bunch of thumping tosh

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  5. Bman is calpers a real buyer ??

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  6. most of Cal-Pers was a real buyer; not the money laid off to beefers

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  7. the raiders caused a panic. That hurt everyone.

    Actually I think a cause of the huge, sudden drop was program selling by all those billions of variable annuities.

    The insurance companies had guraatied a floor, so when the raiders pushed stocks to the floor level, a version of 1987 style portfolio insurance selling occurred.

    I didn't realize that at the time, but read about it a few months later and thought about it. It makes a lot of sense. Those were real buyers who were forced to panic and sell becuase the floor guarantees had to be protected.

    That panic selling caused the Sept-Oct 2008 selling black hole, just like it did in 1987.

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  8. I guess GS is not going to 200 today.

    I heard their old core (respectable) business in investmetn banking was down.

    And clients no longer trust them, due to huge conflicts.

    I guess they read this blog.

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  9. GS is worth book value for the trading business capital (most of GS), and 3x book on the old core business [or 20x core earnings], which really doesn't not need much capital.

    the stock is overvalued.

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  10. GS is scum...I agree 100% with you Bunkerman...

    Bud your naivete is shocking on this matter....

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  11. Bud your naivete is shocking on this matter....


    I don't think it's naivete, but I won't introduce ad hominem arguments.

    Owning that stock wil be a dog for years now, in my opinion.

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  12. Bman the makes total sense on the variable annuities............i guess we differ on the 'cause and effect'



    putting toll booth collectors makin 45k a year in 550k homes with no money down and an ARM ..........that was the cause.................not some stupid conquistadores............or samurais........or gladiators......or 'vikings'

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  13. every link in the process that was independent is a separate cause of the entire panic. Not all occurred at the same time.

    The panic had more than one cause.

    Assuming the first to show up was "The" cause is the "post hoc, ergo propter hoc" fallacy.

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  14. stock will be a dog for years now


    LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO



    Bman aren't you the one who has been ranting for years about 'the shareholders' ??............GS stock up from 50 in 10months...........i am sure the shareholders are very very happy..........oh wait..........i guess GS shareholders don't matter





    naivete indeed

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  15. hehe, see, I am learning from that book I'm reading about fallacies.

    "The Mind is the Greatest Tool"

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  16. GS is back to pre-panic levels.

    Do they pay a reasonable dividend ?

    Or will they overpay employees first.

    Shareholders of GS are being milked LT.

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  17. uh Bud ... I did use the future tense in that prognostication.

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  18. post hoc, ergo propter hoc



    huh ???? is that lithuanian ??

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  19. even tho he's a tool gotta give Buddy the 200 gs call..."well done bud"

    (thats the best I can do...lol..kinder,gentler spin)

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  20. that's Latin, But.

    it translates, "After this, therefor because of this".

    It's a logical fallacy to assume it without a reason to do so.

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  21. i guess ken langone doesn't read this blog


    ' you can't debase your currency and achieve economic prosperity'

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  22. Bunky...I sure hope bradshaw not reading this blog...bashing and doubting meredeth...do you feel no shame sir.

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  23. uh frosty ... bradshaw is an ex-Steeler QB ... what does he have to do with Molotaova ?

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  24. you call yourself a grappler...may I suggest a WWE dictionary...bradshaw the lush hair variety would pin you in a heartbeat.

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  25. Googled "bradshaw wrestler" Funny I never heard of him.

    no doubt I'm a bit detached from pop culture here in the Bunker.

    ReplyDelete
  26. bradshaws is Molatova's househusband....

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  27. Layfield married Meredith Whitney on February 12, 2005 in Key West, Florida.

    Geez, that's a shocker.

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  28. a stud marries a genius....only in America!!!!!

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  29. Sal...may we get a wing tax update...traders union petition.

    speaking of updates, how is sharkfolio doing vs nigga123.

    ReplyDelete
  30. well, I suppose one scamster marries another is a way to characterize it, too.

    Birds of a feather flock together ... rats in a nest together infect.

    both put on the "act" so I suppose they understand each other well.

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  31. scamster ?? huh ????


    i am sure meredith's clients are euphoric over the 45point gain in GS........and that's all that matters...........after all.........Bman aren't you the one always pissin and moanin about the 'clients' interests

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  32. how many times i gotta f'ng tell you i don't know what the sharkfolio is ...........and i don't f'ng care


    frosty...........what a 'dupek'

    ReplyDelete
  33. Meredith did make a once in a lifetime call Bunkerman....any followers of her advice last year did unbelievably well....

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  34. Bman you are a historian ...........so i am sure you will understand this


    the pound sterling was the reserve currency of the world in 1907..........it collpased over the next decade...........foretold the collapse of the british empire



    PS...........if it wasn't for the US.......they'd be speakin bavarian in manchester today



    Verstehen Sie mich, Punker ?

    ReplyDelete
  35. hey ace................haven't you played against andrew guiliani??


    saw him on the new big break the other night



    PS......who won?

    ReplyDelete
  36. I did....it was probably 5 years ago or so...in a qualifier for a local amateur tournament....i was paired with him...i think he shot 68 or so...which beat me pretty easily....he was kind of a douche...but he was very good

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  37. uh did the clients who sold JPM at 20 do "well"

    She was reiterating sells at the bottom.

    She never turned around on most and missed most of the rally.

    A one season wonder.

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  38. uh Bud, World War I had a lot to do with that

    You have a problem with cause & effect ...

    in other words you're a sucker for the "post hoc, ergo propter hoc" fallacy.

    ReplyDelete
  39. her followers did well as long as they got off her bandwagon in time.

    Otherwise they lost a lot covering shorts on the way back up.

    ReplyDelete
  40. she needed a slave in her chariot during the victory triumph saying, "you are not a goddess"

    But no, she just wanted to go on TV to pitch her new firm ...

    As a bear at the wrong time, this time.

    ReplyDelete
  41. 'slave in her chariot'


    LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO



    the Bman is f'n nuts!!!!!

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  42. Bman did you once make a play for Meredith at the Harvard Club, only to be turned away? That is the only reason I can seem to think of for your distaste....

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  43. that's what the Romans did, Bud, to try to keep their generals from offending the gods.

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  44. I am sure that I've never met Molotova.

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  45. I don't like the canonization of anyone involved the markets.

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  46. so you dont believe in St. "Jim"?

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  47. Bunky...a Molatova look alike a great stable addtion...a skim machine..."growl like a bear bitch"

    ReplyDelete
  48. maybe in boots with a whip, frosty ?

    hmmm ...

    I think I have the genre already

    ;)

    ReplyDelete