Friday, January 8, 2010

He Speaks ...

La Grande Bouche spoke yesterday on security.

WSJ: "It was his strongest and most detailed response to the Christmas Day attempt to blow up an airliner bound for Detroit. "We are at war," the president said. "We are at war with al Qaeda."

He said he took responsibility ... and proceeded to blame low level persons and made no changes in his top people.

"Mr. Obama said he would avoid policy changes that would curtail civil liberties or freedom of movement: "We will not succumb to a siege mentality." "

Really ? He's buying scanners to effectively perform strip searches of every American when they travel. Meanwhile, he's closing Guantanamo and is still releasing terrorists to commit terror again. He's not at war with Al Quaeda, he's at war with the American people. They are the ones to suffer demeaning searches and travel restrictions. In a "war", you kill your enemies; Obama isn't killing the terrorists, he's "arresting them". Sort of.

His head of Homeland Security is the one more concerned with returning US soldiers as prospective terrorists than with person known to contact extreme mullahs in Yemen. Great people you're sticking with, Bloviator.

The Bloviator continues to be a skilled rapscallion [*Word of the Day 12/29/2009] and mountebank.

Economy

Long term mortgage rates are going up a lot this Spring. Here's the clue.

WSJ: "The Fed now holds $909 billion of mortgage-backed securities. In the past year it has purchased 73% of the mortgages that government-backed Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae have turned into securities. Purchases by the Treasury pushed total government purchases above $1 trillion. The Fed says it plans to top off its purchases at $1.25 trillion by the end of March ... "

The Fed's balance sheet will peak and when it does, interest rates will return to normal levels. That means core inflation (2%) plus a real rate of return in the range of 2.5-3% for 10-30 year bonds. Mortgage rates should be at least 1.25% more per the value of optional par prepayment. That means the 10 year Treasury is going to 4.5% minimum and mortgage rates to at least 5.75%.

Actions

Doing nothing. I will wait for this push to 1200 to weaken, then buy a new put ladder at those higher levels. Earnings season could change my outlook.

Reading Quiz

When was this written? -> "There is, of course, some connection between the scene outside and the mind through which we watch it, just as there are some long haired men and short haired women in radical gatherings."

Post your answers in comments. I'll provide the correct answer around Noon, unless someone gets it earlier.

Word of the Day

"Helot" - noun [$10]; the 'e' can be pronounced either short or long.
Helot means 1. one of a clan of serfs in ancient Sparta; 2. a serf, a bondsman.
Sentence: If Federal power as claimed under ObamaCare to force a person to spend money as directed by the government is upheld, the citizen's descent into the helot class will be complete. Our real property is not ours already, thanks to the liberals on the Supreme Court.

A Fine Song

Here's the link to a melodic and fun song by the greatest female singer of the 20th century ->

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KVNcLUE87HQ

75 comments:

  1. good morning Bman !!!!!!!!!!!!!!


    what a delicous gingerbread latte with whipped cream and caramel i had this morning..............Bman you really need to go to starbucks this weekend.................maybe after the range ask some of your fellow 2nd amendment practitioners to join you there

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  2. I don't know where there is a Starbucks anywhere near. This is not a city.

    Maybe in the big mall ...

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  3. good music Bman



    greatest of the 20th century ????? everyone knows bette midler is the greatest female singer of the 1900s..........i am a huge fan of hers


    'the rose'

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  4. what kind of "number" are you looking for Bunkerman?

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  5. no opinion on the number. Close to zero.

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  6. bette midler is the greatest female singer of the 1900s

    uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.

    It's way too early to hit teh bong, Bud.

    ;)

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  7. Bunkerman is this number enough to get you to reload your put ladder?

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  8. not yet.

    There's seems to be money desiring stocks.

    I'll wait ... maybe mid month.

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  9. what kind of number ?? reload puts ??



    are these sincere questions?? or just questions to make bash the Bman if he wrong.......................proceed with caution Bman...............these guys may not be on your side

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  10. are these sincere questions? come on Bud...dont be such a cynic sir...

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  11. Bud did you catch last night's episode of Jersey Shore? fine programming indeed

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  12. Trailer Park Boys..oh that bubbles

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  13. Bman it is never too early to hit the bong.....................NEVER

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  14. CGM funds upside 1220 and downside 950 in 2010

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  15. "He's buying scanners to effectively perform strip searches"

    Sal, do you people prefer the body cavity search.

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  16. Bunk...what about the helment contest...if your a bit light, the boyz can do the chip in.

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  17. Bunkerman if you played Mrs. B in Trivial Pursuit who would win?

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  18. haha, nope, I have plenty of helmets.

    Stock close contests are sort of jaded.

    What about a month for first Fed rate rise ?

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  19. don't know re trivial pursuit. She's a sharp cookie.

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  20. What about a month for first Fed rate rise ?...everyone will cluster bets around june...couple months of job growth and well ahead of the mid term election me thinks.

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  21. true, not much range.

    I would not pick June, btw.

    The fed can do a lot before actually raising rates.

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  22. well, how about S&P close June 30?

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  23. or # of House seats the R'a gain in November.

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  24. How about many games it takes the Yankees to win series?..Ill say 4



    ...Mets 8 games out

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  25. win what series? the season series against the a's?

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  26. SPX close on June 30...

    I am going to enter a pick for Toddo...

    550

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  27. hey azzhead..lets be friends..Ill start...whats the odds for Seattle to win it all?

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  28. Sal's low golf score...I'll take 102...with mulligans and pickup putts 81.

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  29. for S&P, we'd have to limit picks to not within 20 pts of a prior pick.

    I pick 1011. [June 30 close]

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  30. another would be S&P high close between now & then.

    I pick 1199.

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  31. Bud did you have Alabama last night? Im thinking you did...

    "wayne allyn root jr."

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  32. Bud have you ever been yelled at while ordering a coffee at Starbucks?

    I went there once...some skinny punk berated me and had me all out of sorts...

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  33. sharp cookie ??? really ??


    how f'ng sharp cud she be.............she married you

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  34. 4.................number of frosty's teeth i knock out when i sucker punch him



    'knock your f'ng teeth out!'

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  35. oh wait............i had called off the dogs


    " sorry "

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  36. no bama.....no texas...........i am retired from wagering til next august when college pinskin resumes


    a successful season wrapped up

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  37. no berate...no yell..........i just used to get nervous ordering

    i am an expert now.............know the complete coffee menu now........they love me at starbux now


    'what's up sal !!!!!!'

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  38. uhhhhhhh guess you guys don't read .... I said earlier that later guesses must be at least 20 pts away.

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  39. well, mighty sharp to marry a guy who's so handsome and later becomes rich so you can retire years ahead..

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  40. that's one reason I never go to starbucks even in NYC - I don't know the secret code words to order.

    at a "normal" deli I just yell, "gimme a black".

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  41. I just yell, "gimme a black". and


    Mrs. B ok with that?

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  42. Bunkerman would you consider yourself a polymath ($10)?

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  43. re polymath, not yet. Maybe in a couple of years.

    Got lots a catch'in up to do in the humanities, languages.

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  44. oh, I don't yell that to her ... just in the NYC delis.

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  45. "uhhhhhhh guess you guys don't read" ....guess your down on strikes...well played Tom.

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  46. "gimme a black"....darn it all...saw that thought merny back from couchtarica.

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  47. 'gimme a black'


    tha's what frosty says when goes to............uhhhh.............shoot...........called off the dogs

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  48. well, IFFFF those were jokes, you still need to get your picks in

    ;)

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  49. is this by june 30 , 2010 Bman ??


    if so...........1230 hi



    closes at 1200

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  50. haha frosty.

    Uh .. mav ... your 1223 is too close to Bud's 1230.

    If you really like that area, I suppose we could lower the cushion req. to 15 and give you 1215.

    Maybe 20 pts is too far.

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  51. awaiting picks of the illiterate ...

    ;)

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  52. Bunkerman do you or Mrs B believe in wind farms?

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  53. ooppsss...forgot the qualifier...USA USA USA

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  54. well, we believe in wind farms ... as gigantic frauds that scam taxpayer money for worthless projects that lose money and become eyesores and kill wildlife and do not produce power when as as needed.

    All wind farms should be sold as scrap.

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  55. uh frosty .. is that the close or high or both ?

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  56. ok spin ... give your picks.

    interesting, for the close, the entire range from 1011 to 1200 is empty.

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  57. you and Mrs B have a fine weekend pal....

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  58. danke, gleichfalls

    (thanks, likewise)

    clever picks .. wait till end, then grab max real estate.

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  59. oops ... forgot to post the answer to the quiz.

    1922, by Walter Lippmann, the Book of the Week.

    The clue was also in Julie Andrews' song

    ".. this is 1922 ..."

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