Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Fading ...

The Dubai panic is fading everywhere but in Dubai and the Gulf markets. Of course, the bulk of losses are going to be concentrated there. Who else would own an Islamic bond, but people who believe the Islamic faith. And of those, who has lots of money to invest ? Rich Arabs.

The world moves on .... the panic mongers failed to start another conflagration. A metaphor: It's tough to start a new fire when the building is soaking wet from the prior fire-fighting effort. And the world is awash in liquidity in the aftermath of the Panic of 2008.

Good economic news came out yesterday morning. On that and the containment of the Dubai defaults, during the morning dip I doubled up on the S&P Dec. call options and the HBC call options. I plan to hold these until the Friday jobs number comes out, which I expect to be good. But IF the markets ramp into that report, I'll take the sugar before the number. I am not a pig. Je ne suis pas un goinfre.

Book of the Week

Black Sea, by Neal Ascherson (1995, about 300 pages). This book is a very readable and interesting work about the cultures surrounding the Black Sea and that sea's ecology. Ascherson covers many facets of the history from the Scythians and Sarmations to the Crimea to the Don Cossacks to events in the war between Abkhazia and Georgia in 1992-3. In scope, Ascherson includes historical and cultural events from Odessa to Trebizond (NE Turkey today) around the northeastern half of the sea's shore. I think he just ran out of pages, so Turkey and its Ottoman past, the Byzantine empire and the Danube area are left out, as is Ukraine.

Ascherson is a professional writer and can tell a story well. If you have interest in this cultural crossroads of the ancient and modern world, you will enjoy this book.

Word of the Day

"Eutrophication" - noun [$10] from "Eutrophic" - adjective [$10]
Eutrophic means (of a lake, etc.) rich in nutrients and so supporting a dense plant population, the decompostion of which kills animal life by depriving it of oxygen.
Sentence: Without some controls, so much nutrient material can flow into the Black Sea from its five major rivers that eutrification can devastate fisheries in coastal waters.

49 comments:

  1. I'll mine some more data:

    Euro zone Nov manufacturing PMI revised higher - Reuters.com

    German official unemployment dips in November - AFP

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  2. "ill mine some more data"

    lmaooooo well done Bunky.....

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  4. lol my CD course on how to read and understand poetry is helping ...

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  5. GS bankers getting handgun permits ... lololol

    Dumber than I thought. Guys with that much money should hire pros.

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  6. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1109/30015.html

    there ya go Buddy....one for your side pal...

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  7. I met a lawyer for GS the other day at some silly holiday gathering...I have one word to describe this individual...

    D-O-U-C-H-E

    sorry Mrs. B...

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  9. good morning Bman !!!!


    all i want for xmas is a stronger dollar

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  10. what a f'ng joke the USD has become

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  11. good article ace


    gonna try to focus on trading and try to ignore the 'boob bait for bubbas' for now

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  12. 'containment of the Dubai defaults'


    lmaoooooooooooooooooooooooooooo



    PS.....that comment reminds me of cramer's 'subprime won't spread' in 2007.......oh wait.........didn't the Bman say that too ???

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  14. took sugar on 1/2 S&P calls for 50% gain;

    holding rest for now.

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  15. What we need in this market is real buyers....not gamblers buying calls and flipping them in 2 days...


    nice trade Bunk

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  16. it's not me ... the good pitches are coming faster ... haven't had to work the count.

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  19. "sorry Mrs. B"

    maybe Bud should deliver the same courtesy

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  20. hmmm I wonder if I'll have a pancake contest with Big Al this Christmas holiday ? Gotta email him.

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  21. Bud why have you been so quiet with your picks recently?

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  22. No shame. I posted those as trades ... just taking advantage of the fat pitch.

    Why sit on the bench when they're tossing fat ones ...

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  23. btw, am going to MG range this PM. Practice, practice.

    I probably put more lead downrange in one PM that the GS d*&^&%s do all year.

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  24. what about all the non-posters who are real investors? are you a now a beefer gutting your own beefer?

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  26. no, I've always said buy dips. So if one had some money to invest, Friday and Monday early were opportunities.

    I had checked the LT asset allocation model and saw nothing, so posted nothing.

    I can't gut anyone or thing since I don't get paid by anyone or anybody. I just post what I do, usually a few mintues after I do it

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  27. I heard a rumor you take in royalty fees from "jim".....is this true?

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  30. Hi Bunkerman

    What made you choose Eutrophication as the word of the day.

    We have a solution to this problem, we use Diatom algae to consume the nutrients and these are consumed by fish and people can consume fish.

    We have a unique product to cause a steady and controlled bloom of Diatoms.

    best regards

    Bhaskar
    www.kadambari.net

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  31. I chose to use "eutrophication" as word of the day because I first saw it reading the book, "Black Sea". I'd never seen it before, so it went into the card file and voila, to the word of the day.

    Sounds like a good product

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  32. true, spin, but the leaks sound like Barry's gong to follow LBJ-McNamara (& W-Rummy) lead: half-assed

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  34. true, re Black Sea - it's not manmade, though. The lower 90% is devoid of oxygen due to to many nutrients, then bacteria went to anerobic process creating poisonous hydrogen sulphide.

    It's all in the book.

    The hydrogen sulphide eats metal, though, over time.

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  35. Obama starts cheerleading tonight...you know he has an advance "look" at Friday's #'s....a case of rocks says that # is under 10%...

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  38. congrats Bman on some good trading...........beefer style


    but i never wanna f'ng hear from you about the common man anymore.............he is gettin destroyed every time he goes to the grocery store........wait a sec.........i got destroyed last nite when i went to the store...........milk eggs bread chicken fruit vegetables..........my dollars buyin less and less everytime i go..............CPI my ass



    enjoy your lunch at the Beefer club with your classmates.............yuckin it up over your SPY calls..........meanwhile the common man gettin pounded


    you don't give an F about the common man.............you think the common man is buyin SPY calls to hedge his fallin purchasin power ???? all you care about is the S and p goin to the moon..............if the dollar has to get destroyed .......so be it





    dollar tankaroooooo

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  43. does marc faber read this blog??


    on bloomberg tv they just quoted him 'the purchasin power of the US consumer is under assault by chairman bernanke'



    no problem ......the Bman says mine ain't goin down


    what a bunch of thumpin tosh

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  46. back. Did well.

    Sheesh, Bud, everything you mention is made in the USA.

    Cheap food. Do you want me to price chicken again ? Ditto eggs.

    Milk - blame DC for the milk quotas.

    Too bad facts don't fit the screeching.

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