Thursday, November 19, 2009

Environmental Fundamentals

Enormous quantities of nonsense are bantered about the media in the environmental arena. The principal reason for this is phony mysticism that the Green movement uses to hide from facts about the world. The Green movement blathers about "nature" as if it's an ancient God; some make this express by referring to Gaia, the pagan deity of ancient Greece mythology for the Earth.

Let's begin the deconstruction of the Green movement by looking at some basic truths about the physical world - the "real" Earth composed of atoms and molecules, held together by gravity and receiving truly "free" energy from the Sun. Earth has existed in this form for about 4.5 billion years and has evolved without external intervention or forces (other than the Sun and Moon) for that entire period. Earth continues to evolve and move along its worldline as a roughly closed system, again, other than the energy from the Sun and tidal forces of the Moon.

Here are some truths about this real Earth specifically as related to the Green movement.

All sources of "renewable" energy are NOT infinite. By renewable, I mean wind, solar and biomass. All those require LAND to transform the energy to a form usable by humans. Land is finite - limited to the surface of Earth. Green economists love to blather about "external costs" and claim that traditional power sources must be forced to bear more of those. But they simultaneously always neglect the cost of the LAND in their calculations of renewable energy economics. They also ignore the costs of the initial investment in production of the "renewable" energy, but that's for another post.

Rain falls from the sky for free. This is a true statement. evaporation caused by the Sun creates water vapor that circulates in the atmosphere, eventually condensing out and falling as rain. All free. The Sun provides the external energy and the Earth's gravity and rotation provide the forces for weather circulation.

Water is almost never truly destroyed. It's simply used in physical processes (e., g. washing, cooling, etc.) or chemical processes (e. g. plant photosynthesis). However, even for the chemical processes, when looked at as an entire system, the net gain or loss of water is practically zero. Why ? Water is an exceptionally stable molecule. If broken apart by energy in one process, another process tends to re-form the water molecule, releasing energy.

Carbon Dioxide is not a Poison nor is it a Pollutant. Carbon dioxide is crucial for plant life. Human beings exhale carbon dioxide in every breathe. How can such a crucially, absolutely necessary chemical compound be a "pollutant" ? That's like saying water is a pollutant. because water can cause much harm in the wrong place or in excessive amounts, such as in floods. Or that oxygen is a pollutant, because in concentration is can lead to explosions or fires, or can even cause rust in very small concentrations.

That's enough for now. Let's bring some real science and critical discussion to environmental issues, and leave the sophistry and mysticism out.

Actions

Still looking for new screaming buys or sells. None yet, other than the occasional municipal bond. My parameters on those are over 5% yield (both in yield to call and yield to maturity), ten years non call (5 years for a 20 year maturity), acceptable credit (A rated, no CA, AZ, NV, FL, no liberal bastions like NY and NJ, no Michigan). I also reject selected other places; an example was a bond issued by a medical facility located very near the NC coast - a hurricane target zone.

I diversify very, very broadly in municipal bonds. My largest holding is Harvard University. My smallest is an issue by county school system in western Pennsylvania. I buy the bonds in Mrs. B. "Sky Fund" - it's a joint account - with a real broker, so we pay full service fees. But the broker finds the bonds for us and that's fine. Plus the broker provides advice to Mrs. B, who mostly runs the account.

As Obama's huge tax increases for "high income" persons become closer to reality, I think people will realize these bonds offer great value. They also have good value even for AMT taxpayers. A 5% tax free rate is equivalent to 6.94% taxable rate for AMT taxpayers. I do not buy municipal bonds subject to AMT, as for some years I find myself subject to that tax.

And yes, I am a free-loader now, as plans for ObamaCare do not, so far, envision taxing that income. Hence I will not be supporting that folly, at least for that portion of my income.

Word of the Day

"Verdure" - noun [$10]
Verdure means 1. green vegetation; 2. the greenness of this; 3. (poetic) freshness.
Sentence: Carbon dioxide and the sun are the crucial inputs to plant life and its extraordinary verdure.

53 comments:

Bud said...

good morning Bman !!!!!


ken griffin looking for investors for his new hedge funds ...........are you interested Bman ??? he runs Citadel..........one of the smartest guys out there

Bud said...

trader tax pickin up steam


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aX8CA2eqhWn4



still think it's 'boob bait for bubbas' Bman ???

Bunkerman said...

lol, re Griffin, nein, nie, non, nyet, nfw.

Bunkerman said...

Griffin relying on "There's a sucker born every minute", too.

Bud said...

well ken griffin did lose 8Billion last year.............and then he stopped redemptions

but it's a free country........and i hope it stays free............keep the lawyers and the regulators out of this............if people wanna give him money.........it's their choise

Bud said...

Bman how are you protecting your hard-earned nest egg against the dollar tankaroo ???


oh wait............you keep goin 300% long with SPY calls..............never mind

mfl59 said...

If I were spin I would be rioting today...Did anyone see what happened in the France-Ireland World Cup qualifier??? Ireland got absolutely hosed.....

I drank 4 carbombs to drown out my anger....

Pierdol sol Francia!!!

mfl59 said...

Griffin is a graduate of Harvard....

all you beefers are the same...

Bunkerman said...

well, since most of what I buy is priced in dollars here, I don't need much hedge.

But I have about 20% of Krypto Fund in foreign stocks and another 5%++ amount in gold.

Plus 10-15% in TIPs.

That's enough.

Bunkerman said...

actually, I think I'm a bit over-protected against a decline in the dollar + inflation ....

I guess that means I make money net when dollar falls ... or inflation rises.

shucks ...

Spin-em said...

4 carbombs loooooooooooool

what happened?? flazzhead style ponytail takedown??

Bud said...

russians gettin in on the trader tax


http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091119-702602.html



still think it's 'boob bait for bubbas' Bman ????

Frosty said...

"And yes, I am a free-loader now"...that makes me sick...you should fell great shame sir.

Frosty said...

JPM last week...BAC this week, chop chop chopssuuiii the semi group..."margins scream peak semi cycle"...very popular blog indeed.

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman are you going to allocate capital today to this once in a lifetime dip?

Frosty said...

Sal we buying HPQ dec 50...did we find the nov pin today...please check your spreadsheet...thanks in advance...when is experation?

mfl59 said...

I hear they are putting in a transaction tax in French Guyana....starting next week...oh man...

Bunkerman said...

probably not, mfl, unless it gets deeper and & spot something good.

Not really looking too hard, though.

Bunkerman said...

November Philadelphia Fed 16.7 vs 12.2 consensus, October 11.5

meth labs hiring, working triple shifts ?

Frosty said...

Bunky...silverdoom sells for $580k on 127 acres...we could have opened the largest cat house in the world...cheeseheads would have flooded across the windsor bridge for taco night...skim opportunity of a lifetime down the drain indeed.

Spin-em said...

Loooooool

'he is sorely missed"

Spin-em said...

mike, Timmy's the only pal we traders have in govt.... please cut him some slack

mfl59 said...

Fair enough spin...I'm sure Bunkerman will see Timmy this weekend at his country club's Thanksgiving cocktail party...all members must wear a pink tie and plaid pants....

Frosty said...

"I don't see any specific news item that deserves the blame"...thx jim...opx thumpingtosh indeed, frost wipes the spit from his face.

Bunkerman said...

hmm time for more German ...

Maybe I'll make a pork roast with sauerkraut this weekend.

Bud said...

that was a disgrace ace


thierry henry couldn't believe he got away with that..............fifa needs replay


the mics got hosed absolutely

Bud said...

no spreadsheet needed frosty...........we pounded the eminis on the 1100 failure..............nailed them !!!!!!!



" look at me bob!!........i am the greatest trader..........i know how to make money...........i can't be stopped.............i love me some me"

mfl59 said...

Bud if you could post those trades before the outcome is known that would be much more helpful...thanks in advance...

Frosty said...

well played indeed sir...order us up a couple pakicarbombs to celebrate...the six ft kabab is on me.

Spin-em said...

Guy Adami

"the dollar might be as worthless as Mets season tickets but...."



sorry you had to hear that mike

mfl59 said...

Guy Adami....keep shorting gold faggot.....

Spin-em said...

..Bunk does the father in law have to hit the hay when the sun goes down (LIGHTS OUT OL MAAN..click)or did he watch WWII last night...lol

Frosty said...

"GS going to $200"...Sal we taking a shot 175 pin as we move out to dec contract...that's right, pingpong...never mind....please don't toss the checkerboard on me.

mfl59 said...

Bob just an f.y.i. there fella...."jim" says there is no such thing as pin action...please adjust accordingly...

Bunkerman said...

oh he gets sleepy right after dinner.

Hits "the steel" around 8PM, too.

(Hitting the steel is for sleeping on a ship deck, no rack)

Bud said...

thanks frosty for the kind words


now was that so hard ??? i appreaciate all the encouragement............i beginnin to feel that bob has joined Bman in the category of my well-wishers


others?? still rootin against me..........no problem..........i keep chuggin along

Bud said...

there is no such thing as pinning...............it a bunch of thumping tosh



PS..........Bman do you belive in pinning ???

Bunkerman said...

hmm re 'Dzim" aka Kuba, I wonder what "kiss my ass" is in Polish ?

hmmm I translated that once before ....

"kiss my ass !" ->

pocałuj mnie w dupę !

Bunkerman said...

yes, pinning is obviously rather common.

data / observations rule.

mfl59 said...

Spin do you think its time we stopped rooting against Bud? I'll go along with whatever you say...

It is sapping a lot of my energy...I spend most of day hoping Bud loses money...

Spin-em said...

didnt WWII ships have wooden decks??....has he been sayin that term for 64 years?lol

Frosty said...

Bunky please post when you tap out BA...thanks in advance.

Bunkerman said...

nope, spin.

many had steel decks.

Bunkerman said...

plan to hold BA until dreamliner flies

up, up and away to the '70s.

Bunkerman said...

also, spin, I read that term also in a WW II diary, too, by a guy who served on a light cruiser in the Pacific.

It stuck in my memory because Joe had used it.

See -> Pacific War Diary, 1942-1945: The Secret Diary of an American Soldier
by James J. Fahey, James J Fahey

very, very good book.

Bunkerman said...

Joe also likes the term, "boot injection" for "Kick in the as"

Bunkerman said...

Kick in the Ass.

Bunkerman said...

that book has lots of good lines, such as "we helped them die for their Emperor"

Hmmm ... maybe a "Book of the Week"

Bud said...

Bman lots of smart currency guys are saying Euro goin to 140 ..... does that concern you ???


prolly not..........since.....ummmm..........'my purchasin power ain't goin down'


what a bunch of thumping tosh

mfl59 said...

"The dollar doesnt matter"

"jim" told that to mern a few years back...perhaps you should listen to your hero Bud...

Frosty said...

Bud...please break the tie...do you people find the term cornhole offensive sir.

Bunkerman said...

sheesh, Bud .. the euro was at 160 a couple years ago ... look at a chart.

Bunkerman said...

and it was just at 150.

what the bleep difference is it if teh dollar rallies a bit ?