Friday, November 20, 2009

TGIF

It's Friday and the holiday season is coming. Next week is a shortened week and Christmas ads fill the airwaves. Hmmm ... that's a bit archaic, as now the "airwaves" aren't analog waves at all, but packets of bits and bytes. But at the fundamental level, the digital bits are still electromagnetic waves, although somehow configured be read by receivers as bits. I wonder how that's done ? Oh well ... you can tell I'm mostly a theorist when it comes to physics, etc.

Marketwise, consolidation continues. A few weeks ago I wrote that to hit my S&P target of 1200 by year end, the markets need some good news on the jobs front. That means unemployment claims dropping solidly below 500,000 per week, and the December jobs number showing a loss well under 200,000. We'll see ...

Europe is now going through the "Articles of Confederation" phase of nation-building. Eventually they'll copy the US Constitution, but it might take a generation for the need for that to be obvious to the leaders of member states. For now, Europe seems rather dominated by the big three, viz. Britain, France and Germany (listed alphabetically), but when will Italy, Poland and Spain (again listed alphabetically) start to get the respect they deserve ?

Hmmm in a year, this blogger will be semi-literate in all the major languages of the EU. I'll be able to add news from France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Spain to my daily posts. I wonder how many bloggers world wide are able to do that ? Perhaps I'll then consider expanding operations to a real web site with more capability.

By the way, I can read enough of those languages to note that the leading newspapers in Italy and Poland did NOT have the appointment of the EU president as a top headline, while those from Britain, France and Germany did. The headline in a leading newspaper in Spain focused on the weakness of the #1 and #2 EU leaders. Interesting ...

Actions

The refrain continues ...
Je ne fais rien.
Ich machte nichts.
Nic nie robiÄ™.
Estoy haciendo nada.
Non faccio nulla.
Nihil facio.
I am doing nothing.

I wonder if I can make a poem from those lines ? Perhaps next time. I am listing to a course on "How to Read and Understand Poetry" from the Teaching Company. I might be able to combine those lines into some sort of verses with alliteration, assonance, consonance and half-rhymes and other poetic "sound effects". A good project.

Word of the Day

"Proxeny" - noun [$1000] and "Proxenus" -noun [$1000]; both from Greek
Proxeny means the office of function of a proxenus"
Proxenus means (in Greek antiquity) A resident citizen of a state appointed by another state to represent and protect its interests there. Readers of the fine book by Thomas Mann, Buddenbrooks, will recognize that function was called "consul" in the free trading cities of pre-1871 Europe. Proxeny is sort of like an official agency of a governmental entity in another jurisdiction.
Sentence: The position of EU president seems a bit like a joint proxeny for all the members states of the EU on the world stage.

59 comments:

Bud said...

good morning Bman !!!


woke up early today to pound the ES Z9........no action all night...........then bamm..........tankaroo..........nailed them !!!!!!!


on my 2nd cup of vanilla skim latte from dunkindonuts...........surely Bman you have one of those within a couple miles

Bud said...

sorry Bman ..........was a bit confused last nite


Euro goin to 140 would be great..............130 even better..........we need a strong dollar.............i don't believe that crap about a weak dollar will create jobs here

Bud said...

Frosty...please break the tie...do you people find the term faggot offensive sir ??

Bud said...

if the dollar can go to 140 Euro...........SPX will go below 1000

Bud said...

some interesting comments from china



The moves appear attributable to comments from Zhang Ping, chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission which crossed just after 7 ET. Zhang says domestic demand growth is not strong enough, that China's economic recovery is not solid, and that China still has an industrial overcapacity problem. Zhang says China's external and domestic situation is complicate




so much for a lower USD helping exports and creating jobs here

Bunkerman said...

I was reading a book; don't see any news for the drop. Maybe options related ?

Euopre had nice gains early.

Bunkerman said...

yes, there is a DD about 1.4 miies away, and another about 4 miles away.

But I make my own coffee: fresh ground, premium beans via a mesh filter. I like it pure and black, unsweetened.

Bunkerman said...

more consumer demand in China would be good for the US in many ways.

Bud said...

those chinese comments hit around 7am.............also some rumor of ukraine defaulting on debt

mfl59 said...

today a strong dollar...yesterday a weak dollar....which is it son?

a nation's currency does not create jobs....do you think the great entrpreneurs of the world look at how the dollar trades relative to the euro to decide their futures? GOOG almost disbanded when the dollar broke out against the south african rand....pffftttttt....

we need incentives for samll businesses....we need innovative thinking...stop listening to the loudmouths on CNBC....you are better than that...

Spin-em said...

But I make my own coffee: fresh ground, premium beans via a mesh filter. I like it pure and black, unsweetened....(river water)

Bud said...

story in wsj today about goldman shareholders pissed about the bonuses


i have no problem with that..........in fact it's perfectly appropriate.............they are the owners............they have the right to demand whatever they want from blankfein



congress doesn't............pay czar doesn't...........union bosses don't............pompous media whores don't..............regulators have no business interfering in bonuses




PS.................neither do certain bloggers ..........ya'know who i'm talkin about.........'guttin it's own beefer'

Bunkerman said...

too bad the SEC prevents shareholders from banding together to actually do something about excess pay as GS.

Bunkerman said...

and re jobs, Obama's misguided stimulus paln is hurting the jobs prospects now.

he gave all the money to government, little to private sector.

Bunkerman said...

can you "strong dollar" supporters answer something ?

It's quite prevalent that the US consumer is weak and won't support growth, due to both debt levels and demographics.

So WHERE will the new demand come from to provide revenue to support new jobs ?

OVERSEAS SALES ???? If not that, where ?

Bunkerman said...

I'm sure Wal-Mart supports a strong dollar so they can buy emerging market stuff cheaper to sell in their stores.

versus US made stuff.

Bud said...

trader tax again


http://www.zerohedge.com/article/transaction-tax-becoming-distinct-possibility-does-it-bring-benefits-table


still think it's 'boob bait for bubbas' Bman ??

Spin-em said...

whisper...'build it "$" and they will come"

Bunkerman said...

heck, all that needs done to help US jobs is shifting some US demand from imports to US made stuff.

let the dollar find it's natural level.

Spin-em said...

insert $ where appropriate

Ray, people will come Ray. They'll come to Iowa for reasons they can't even fathom. They'll turn up your driveway not knowing for sure why they're doing it. They'll arrive at your door as innocent as children, longing for the past. Of course, we won't mind if you look around, you'll say. It's only $20 per person. They'll pass over the money without even thinking about it: for it is money they have and peace they lack. And they'll walk out to the bleachers; sit in shirtsleeves on a perfect afternoon. They'll find they have reserved seats somewhere along one of the baselines, where they sat when they were children and cheered their heroes. And they'll watch the game and it'll be as if they dipped themselves in magic waters. The memories will be so thick they'll have to brush them away from their faces. People will come Ray. The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. This field, this game: it's a part of our past, Ray. It reminds of us of all that once was good and it could be again. Oh... people will come Ray. People will most definitely come.

Bud said...

what are we gonna sell overseas ??? that they can't make themselves far cheaper

mfl59 said...

Keep buying German cars Bud...strong dollar my ass...

Spin-em said...

same ol argument...backin the day the Japs were making fuel efficient cars..wtf?..keep buyin the Le Sabre...they said..USA,USA.FU ...build a car that I wanna buy...."and they will come".

Spin-em said...

frosty tryin to jinx gmen now....ask Mav..lool

mfl59 said...

On Wednesday night, a friend in the hedge fund business told me about a dinner hosted by Goldman Sachs in London earlier this week where the subject of gold's value came up. Goldman asked the room full of 15 or so major hedge fund managers to mark down on a piece of paper the price at which they thought gold would trade over the next two years. The consensus answer was an astonishing $4,000 per ounce. -- Jon Markman

Spin-em said...

hope they didnt order the sheperd's pie...cuz..its not pie..not at all..lol

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman were you invited to that dinner?

Bunkerman said...

nope.

I disagree on that big gold move, those guys are making the usual error, having missed the bottom a few years ago.

I'll stick with my $1666.

After that, we'll see.

Bunkerman said...

hmmm Bud was away recently; maybe he got invited - he's such a pro-GS person, maybe he got a return smooch-a-roo.

;)

mfl59 said...

Bud is more of a CNBC mouthpiece I believe.....

mfl59 said...

Bud how about some weekend picks big fella? or did you break the bank?

I'd love your opinion on Rutgers-Syracuse....

Bunkerman said...

does Bud bet HS games ?

Frosty said...

what the hell speaking 74 tounges have to do with a decent home for the bunkerboyz to hang out in...everything about u u u u u....there is no me in TEAM...never mind.

Bud said...

i'm not 'pro GS'

i am pro free and efficient markets. pro price discovery. pro takin care of your clients. pro takin care of your shareholders. pro raising money for entreupeneurs and young companies.


all things GS stands for and believes in. so i guess i am pro GS.

Bud said...

what's the matter bob ??? can't stand the heat ??? f'ng douchebag



PS.....stll wanna be friends ??

Bud said...

hello hello...........this thing on ??

mfl59 said...

Bud I will root for all your picks this weekend.....I care sir...more than Bob does...

Bud said...

listen ace


you don't have to keep repeating that you root for me..............i'll be able to pick up the signs myself........i can read people...........i ain't stupid


and yes ............Bob does want me to succeed...........i have many 'private emails' from him tryin to help me and encouraging me.............he definitely wants me to make money in the market............that's the truth



he still a f'ng douchebag though




PS...........still wanna be friends ???

Spin-em said...

....at least Im honest...doesnt that count for something????


I AM NOT AN ANIMAL!!!!!

mfl59 said...

"I can read people"

indeed you can Phil Hellmuth...

Bunkerman said...

uh frosty ... there are some "I"'s in motivation.

;)

Bunkerman said...

uh .. speaking of football

Rutgers-Syracuse ?

who cares.

The two great games of every season are played this weekend.

#1 Harvard vs. Yale.

#2 Ohio State vs. Michigan.

Frosty said...

true Sal...the only one I ever wrecked was mern...busted the mernfund sending his life into a downward spiral...cost him his wife...the right to operate a motor vehichle...his hair...and then exiled him to cochtarica.

Bunkerman said...

gotta get my "Buckeye Beads" out to wear for good luck.

Frosty said...

you and popsnlaw gonna tailgate...bbq, brews and a lil cornhole before the game.


http://www.amazon.com/dp/B002DIOGS4

Bunkerman said...

actually, the biggest game of the weekend is the Harvard-Yale RUGBY game before the football game.

ahhh the scene of so many memories ... drinking all night before .. passsed out on the locker room seats .... then scoring a "try" for the Crimson.

Bud said...

ummmm..............i'm pretty sure he was bald from way before


but you right frosty............you f'ng destroyed him..............devastated the poor guy's life...........oh wait............maybe it was Greenspan .......oh wait........maybe Cramer........oh wait.......maybe Kobi.......well...........he had a long enemies list



come back mern........you are sorely missed



PS........please come back mern...........i'll protect you from these douchebags...........they afraid of me............when i start cursing..........they all shut-up and hide

Bud said...

ohiostate-michigan.............i'll be watchin


come on over Bman.............my fridge is loaded with Bud-lite lime..........and Smirnoff-ice-apple

mfl59 said...

Greenspan....LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Frosty said...

BA nonono 50 pin...someone bring a bazooookkkkaaa to a Kbar fight...I think so...tossing a flag Bunky, calling a foul, unsportsmanlikeconduct.

Bunkerman said...

Bud-lite lime

that figures. Going for the namesake.

Bunkerman said...

I wonder why mfl is letting me zip all those fastballs past him ?

Frosty said...

chill those bunktinis...popsnlaw finds ya dead drunk in a pile of dogs on game day...just like old times.

Bunkerman said...

gee, is RIMM being pinned to 60 ?

nah, pinning doesn't exit .. says says the guru

mfl59 said...

lol there were so many jokes I wanted to make about a Harvard-Yale football game....I simply didnt know where to start...

Bunkerman said...

lol MIT was 1-8 this year.

Well, I suppose they had fun palying.

From memory, their rugby team was OK when we played them.

Bunkerman said...

I have to make a fresh batch of bunktinis tonight.

GO BUCKEYES ... skin those Wolverines.

The blue to be black & blue.

Frosty said...

can't wait to get ahold of the tree nuts in the rosebowl...good weekender men.

Bunkerman said...

true, frosty ... OSU almost always loses that game.