Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Languages

Nothing much is happening. I guess the world is returning to normalcy. The press still screeches about the dollar, climate change, "capitalism", and mostly fawns over La Grande Bouche, but I think they are just trying to retain viewers &/ readers. ['$/' means 'and/or']

The common man is hurting still, but it's not getting worse (so far).

The markets pushed to a new post-Panic high. The advance was steady and broad, so perhaps there is sufficient buying power (or covering power) to get to S&P 1200 by year end, which was my intermediate term target posted here last spring, I think.

Checking the allocations for Krypto Fund, Krypto saw no major moves to make (she pushes a butting on the computer). Good doggie, here's a tasty biscuit for your management fee. Krypto is a super fund manager - good performance for ... dog biscuits. Why pay a beefer big bucks ?

I am doing nothing, except monitoring my existing 1-2-3 Fund positions. BA and MT made good moves, but I'm holding those calls for now. I'm still looking for screaming buys/sells.

Languages

Below are my initial thoughts on the six languages that I'm trying to learn. My initial goals for year 1 are ability to understand slow speech, speak a bit and semi-literacy, which means knowing the grammar and thus having the ability to read almost anything with lots of help from the dictionary.

French - French is further along - I have already attained the year 1 goals there. Now I am focusing on speaking and listening skills. I neglected them last year in a sprint to learn attain semi-literacy. What is hard about French ? The pronunciation and aural comprehension. French has many difficult sounds for an American and has many letters in the words that are important to know for gender and endings, but silent. What is easy ? Learning a lot of the vocabulary - one can guess the meaning of a huge number of French words. English borrowed a lot of French words and Latin gave many words to both languages.

German - The hard part is the sentence word order. Germans move verbs around, split verbs into pieces and put a bit at the end of clauses, and shift the position of subject and objects. It's tough, but over time, I suppose one gets used to it. For a purportedly logical people, their language is a jumbled mess. The easy part is pronouncing the sounds. American is a Germanic lanugage in root sounds. You might be surprised, but pronouncing those long German words is rather easy. Our mouth and tongues can to it naturally. Germans has relatively few noun cases and few declensions and verbs are fairly simple. Plurals are hard, though, as they are rather irregualr.

Polish - Everything is hard in Polish. Knowing some Latin does help as Latin and Polish are both very old Indo-European languages with deep connections going back at least 4,000 years. However, the sounds are mostly different. Polish has many verb conjugations, many cases in several noun declensions, all the gender and number inflections of Latin, and has spelling and sounds changes depending on case, etc.. Plus you have to pronounce all those z, zh, sh, cz, dz, etc. sounds and palatalize lots of consonants. The saving grace is that it's rather logical in word order and grammar. Spending the time gives progress. The two years of Russian I had in college help my pronunciation. Compared to Russian, Polish is easier for an American as Polish uses the Latin alphabet plus a few Latin letters with diacritic marks for special sounds.

Italian - this is my recommendation for a fun and useful language that is relatively easy. Italian pronounces all the letters - there are a few diphthongs that have odd spelling, but those are easy to get used to as one has probably seem them in American borrowings already. Most letters have the same sound as in American. The cases and verb conjugation are easy to learn - not complex. And it's fun. One can use and see it in restaurants and movies and the culture is old and very high. Art, music, and literature all have heavy Italian influences and borrowings.

Spanish - Relatively easy, too. My Spanish is the least advanced as I must be careful about confusing what I learn with the Italian. They are rather close languages, as you might guess. Spanish does seem to have more letters that don't have the usual American sounds. I suppose one can speak to lots of people in Spanish, but do you want to ? And there is little classical literature in Spanish except Don Quixote. Perhaps my views will change as I learn more.

Latin - I had some Latin in high school 40 years ago, so this is fairly easy for me. I'm re-sparking lots of old, decrepit memory cells with a shot of vitality. Latin has lots of different verb conjugations and noun declensions, but the vocabulary is rather easy to guess, as so many words have American connections via direct borrowing or etymology. Also, listening is not important. Speaking is only party important, but helps the memory of the words. I think if one wants to be multilingual in Indo-European languages, learning Latin helps a lot. Plus no language can beat Latin in pithy aphorisms. One reads so many Latin phrases in books. A modest investment in attaining semi-literacy in Latin pays off big.

Word of the Day

"Sorites" - noun [$100] Logic.
Sorites means a form of arguments having several premises and once logical conclusion, capable of being resolved into a chain of syllogisms, the conclusion of each of which is a premise of the next.
Sentence: Arguments that use sorites must be analyzed carefully before being accepted, as a flaw in any link in the chain of syllogisms, perhaps from verbal vagueness or imprecise definitions, can cause the sorties to fail. A common fallacy in argumentation and rhetoric is the sorites "slippery slope" which relies on vague terms or faulty analogies to scare or intimidate an audience improperly into thinking - wrongly - that something bad would happen if the opposing argument prevails. These can be hard to detect when heard orally, so be wary of any sorites in speeches.

46 comments:

Spin-em said...

I suppose one can speak to lots of people in Spanish, but do you want to ?


looooool

Bunkerman said...

oh spin, just because I am vulnerable to a surprise nuclear strike withing 50 miles, doesn't mean I'm "unprepared".

;)

Bunkerman said...

lol I tried to be as circumspect as possible with that thought on Spanish.

Bunkerman said...

it can sound rather bad if one doesn't express it carefully.

Bud said...

currency 101 question Bman


how does china actually keep the renminbi stay low ?? they actually go out and sell yuan in the currency markets ?? thereby creating more supply

did i get that right

Bud said...

from the wsj today



The larger mistake is to believe that any nation can devalue its way to prosperity. As other currencies rise in value and force productivity gains, the U.S. economy will become relatively less efficient. American living standards will decline, as those in Asia rise. This is the real lesson of the Connally-Nixon devaluations of the 1970s and the inflation that followed.


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704431804574540052282519972.html


Bman can you explain that to me...........why does productivity 'have to' rise when the domestic currency rises ??

Bunkerman said...

yes, they sell yuan and buy dollars as necessary in China. They buy the dollars from all those companies in China earning dollars on exports and give them yuan.

And they then take lots of those dollars from their trade balance and buy US Treasuries, rather than convert them to other currencies.

It's a but more complex, as they are letting the yuan rise versus other currencies.

Bud said...

well put ace


the Bman does not care about the destruction of this country'wealth as long as beefers take his lassie fund stocks higher.............also not hearing much about 'beefer games' no more.............which is fine...........but then don't act all pompous and righteous and give lectures on financial reform.............what a phony




tu devrais avoir honte Bman !!!!!!

Bud said...

i'm still tryin to find out how to say 'shame on you' in polish

Bunkerman said...

short answer is the two are unconnected.

the WSJ is commiting the sorites fallacy that I used it word of the day.

-> tendentious, vague reasoning in a chain.

This dollar move is not an intentional "devaluation" - it's a effect of trade and capital flows.
And it must continue until the (a) US can sell more stuff globally, or (b) the US buys less stuff globally, or (c) overseas invetors want to invest more in the US.

One thing these dollar screechers never seem to do: examine purchasing power parity in many nations.

Bunkerman said...

I don't want the common man to be crucified on a cross of green.

In the 1980s, Volcker destroyed the Midwest and Farmbelt with his strong dollar.

And the nations of the world have been feasting off an overly strong dollar for fifty years while the US worker loses his job.

Bunkerman said...

btw, it's inevitable that the living standards of other nations will rise with respect to the US - that's simply the law of diminishing returns.

No reason for a decline in the US, though.

Bunkerman said...

Bud, that French said, "You ought to be ashamed", which I guess is about the same as "you have no shame".

Bunkerman said...

to a male person you are NOT trying to dis, "you have no shame" in Polish would be ->

Pan nie ma wstydu.

Spin-em said...

oh spin, just because I am vulnerable to a surprise nuclear strike withing 50 miles, doesn't mean I'm "unprepared".

yes..that's right you have a half hour..plenty of time...loool...your flank is exposed Sherman!!.....best take ur iodine pill...get in the Hummer and head out of weather pattern to the spanish speaking town of Chihuahua City....loool

Bunkerman said...

nah, take iodine pills, take the H1 to the river to fill the water barrels (if town water fails) and hunker down for a couple weeks living on MREs while the worst of the radiation passes over.

There are survival manuals on nuclear war, btw.

Spin-em said...

ur scenario sounds lovely now...but mrs B will say.why are we hunkering down here eating 20 year old eggs with river water when we could Hunker down for a few weeks in Palm Springs?? lol...

Bunkerman said...

well, IF the strike was just here, of course we'd vamoose.
But if it was in many places, hunkering down is the only option.

Bunkerman said...

Mrs. B would get the premium MREs as doesn't like eggs in concentrated form.

I'll eat the MRE omelettes. And don't forget the hardtack and peanut butter. Very good.

Spin-em said...

Bunk..are ya watching WWII in HD on the History Ch?? 9 oclock 5 parts 3rd tonight....should be a lesson...If you go to war..ya goto war...no put ur left foot in take ur right foot out hokey pokey style bs....Do it or get em home...period

Bunkerman said...

no argument on taht, Spin.

We go to bed arouind 8:30, so watching TV later is no in the cards.

If that's an old series, I might have it on DVDs.

Bunkerman said...

that lesson was re-learned in Vietnam.

But Bush-Rumfled made the same mistakes LBJ-McNamara did..

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman did you vote for GWB twice?

Bunkerman said...

commercial real estate debt market is improving: from Briefing -

Sources says that the first CMBS issue in a year to be done with overwhelmingly private money; Fed, which was prepared to lend over $150 mln, may only provide a small amount - CNBC

Bunkerman said...

uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

I have to wear a bag over my head to bear taht shame.

But didn't have much choice in 2004 when his errors were being made.

Too bad McCain didn't challenge him for the nomination then.

mfl59 said...

I have a nice parcel of land in Florida for sale Bunkerman if you are interested...Glengarry Estates...

"commercial real estate is improving"

all the Fed is doing is delaying the day of reckoning....

Spin-em said...

I voted for GWB twice...the first was after Monica...and thought..this douchebag is a disgrace to America(little did I know)take Billy back in a Little Rock minute....and the secondtime...I thought...well..gotta give him some time......wrong again spinbozo..I just hope the dems dont have the same..."wellll we gotta give him time" for this guy

mfl59 said...

"this guy"

is that racist, spin?


lololololololol

Spin-em said...

youuu people....ROFLMAOOOOOOO

Spin-em said...

mfl did you vote for GWB twice???

mfl59 said...

sadly I did....John Kerry...are you serious?

Bud said...

Bman i need your wisdom ...........you are a wise man.......you are an educated man.......i am sure you can help



my neighborhood liquor store owner has 2 customers............drinker A is a casual drinker..........he buys a bottle of wine about once a month.......sometimes for a special ocassion he may buy a bottle of champagne.........drinker B on the other hand is a 'very active' buyer.........he buys daily......vodka bourbon rum.......you name it he buys it........he even buys 'afterhours'....the store 'closes at 4'.....but he knocks on the door and buys a few cases of beer..........this happens on a daily basis..........drinker A gets alot of price breaks that drinker A doesn't get


both drinker A and B also enjoy very rare expensive bottles of wine..........once in awhile the owner gets his hands on a very rare bottle.........but he always sells it to drinker B.....even though drinker A had reserved it first....he does everything he can to keep drinker B happy



but now drinker A is complaining to the city business buraeu of gettin treated unfairly...........wants to pay the same price. wants access to the rare bottles. he wants to be treated exactly like drinker B..........even though he spends 1/1000th a year what drinker B spends




Bman can you please advise the city ????

Bunkerman said...

such a shallow "straw man", Bud.

local wine markets are not same as stocks.

by the way, many states have "fair price" laws on things like liquor: no discounts.

Hehe, that book on fallacies sure has sharpened my thinking and recognition of thse things.

Stock markets have lots of exemptions created for a public purpose, as well as regulations to facilitate public confidence.

Bunkerman said...

perhaps "transparent" straw man is a better metaphor.

mfl59 said...

Bud are you drinker "A"?

Bunkerman said...

the Street wants all those securities law exemptions, but now wants to screw the public.

nfw.

Bunkerman said...

I guess more precisely, you're using a faulty analogy to create a straw man fallacy to try to trap me.

Frosty said...

opx spreadsheet returned mail...iteabagrevy@swallow.net...Sal move to couchtarica.

Frosty said...

when is experation...hello...hello...this thing on.

Frosty said...

Sal...what is wrong...can't take the HEAT.

Bud said...

'can't take the heat'


lmaooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

Bud said...

shut the F up bob !!!


how many times u gonna use that lame teabag joke............it ain't funny...........it was never funny........it ain't ever gonna be funny


f'ng douchebag




PS...........still wanna be friends ???

Bud said...

is this thing on now ?????

Frosty said...

VVUS well played Bunky...taking some sugar here half, thanks big guy...lil worried elephants have hold of it.

Frosty said...

VVUS not all good news though...reloading clips so I can crush you BA :)

Bunkerman said...

hmmm maybe loss of blood affecting frosty's mind ...