Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Out of the Beast

I arrived home last evening after 1.5 days in the belly of the Beast ... aka New York City, Manhattan. The Gold Kryptonite martinis at the "club" bar were perfectly made by my friendly bartenders. Then on Tuesday, lunch at the Harvard Club was very fine - poached salmon, fine vegetables and the berries with coffee. The Grill Room was packed with people ... ugh, I wish they had not relaxed the dress code - so many slobs eating in a finely paneled room decorated with paintings is depressing.

People in suits seemed worried about the markets and many were quite bearish. But the common man seemed more interested in the Mets and the playoffs and the Giants and Jets. This is still a rich man's panic.

My special ties again received compliments from strangers of both sexes.

The stupidity of Congressmen and women continues to astonish me.

Buffet buys sweetheart deal from GS. Next time one hears him talk about taxes, remember that his preferred stock dividends are 80% tax-free to Berkshire Hathaway. And when people gush about following his ideas, that might be hard as I didn't notice a public offering of that preferred stock and warrants deal.

A giant beefer reveals huge short positions against some UK banks after the UK's FSA requires disclosure. What a surprise !

The oil market was wild - and oils stocks, too. The signs of beefer liquidation seem strong.

Alpha Fund owns BAC, JPM, CVX, DVN, RIG and FCX in reasonably sized positions, and has a smaller speculative position in MBI, too. BAC is about 1.3x normal size still after the partial sale posted Monday AM. Alpha Fund is roughly 1/2 in the big two fins and 1/2 in the oils+miners. Alpha Fund is on slight margin, about 125%.

Doing nothing. Might buy heavily if more signs of a bottom in home prices emerge. I expect this soon as mortgage rates are low again and anecdotes of real buyers are more frequent.

PS: Hmm I guess I'm being baited - "what do Libertarians think about the Paulson 'plan' ?"

A purist, unthinking libertarian would be against it, I suppose. However one that thinks and has read "Anarchy, State and Utopia" by Robert Nozick might connect the philosophical justification for using the State to protect against violence from persons and catastrophic events with violence against the common man by big money pools and frightened rich & powerful people. And support some parts of it. Uniting resources to avoid catastrophe from being trampled by their stampede makes sense for the common "protective association".

This is why Bunkerman, as a populist libertarian, supports it as it has so far been disclosed. Just as government protects the common man from pirates and gangsters - or should - so should the common man unite and use government to protect themsleves against both the gluttonous Dukes and the Viking raiders in the financial world.

Word of the Day

"Recrudescense" - noun [$10]
Recrudescence means a new outbreak after a period of abatement or inactivity; renewal.
Sentence: Will October 3 bring a recrudescense of rumors about financial firms once the beefer Viking raiders can again profit from short selling raids ?

40 comments:

Bunkerman said...

Re Meredith -

sheesh mfl ... Meredith is protecting her beefer masters existing short postions. They trot her out as needed.

Soooo obvious.

Bunkerman said...

Hmm I guess I'm being baited - "what do Libertarians think about the Paulson 'plan' ?"

A purist, unthinking libertarian would be against it, I suppose. However one that thinks and has read "Anarchy, State and Utopia" by Robert Nozick might connect the philosophical justification for using the State to protect against violence from persons and catastrophic events with violence aganst the common man by big money pools and frightened rich & powerful people. And some support in aspects of it. Uniting resources to avoid catastrophe from being trampled by their stampede makes sense for the common "protective association".

Spin-em said...

"People in suits seemed worried about the markets and many were quite bearish. But the common man seemed more interested in the Mets and the playoffs and the Giants and Jets. This is still a rich man's panic"

the common man.....the slobs...lol

Bunkerman said...

lol, no, the "slobs" are Harvardians who should know better than to dress slovenly in a fine club.

Spin-em said...

I wasn't baiting you Bunkerman..it was patrick, who said he scans blogs for the word "Libertarian" that I was fishing for......loool

Bunkerman said...

well, that blog had "Libertarian" as a subject. Maybe he picks those up.

Bunkerman said...

I added it - his opinion on the plan would be interesting to hear. Maybe I'll check his site.

mfl59 said...

common men at the Harvard Club? lmaooooooooo.....

i think you mean the servants

btw i served you that meredith question on a silver platter....lmaooo

Bunkerman said...

I know re Meredith ... thanks for the fat pitch .... I enjoyed sending it over Center Field wall.

Bunkerman said...

I looked on Patrick's site - I think he is against it.

It's interesting, btw. Worth reading daily.

mfl59 said...

Buffett-GS....pffttt...Ive seen fairer deals from the sharks on Mulberry St....Warren getting a free ride...GS must have been in some trouble

Bunkerman said...

Agree mfl - a horrible deal for GS. I suspect they were buying prtotectino against curent troubles & will use the excess capital in the future to buy small banks in wealthy areas.

Or they have some big trading losses to be disclosed.

Frosty said...

Bunky...cox should go karachi on the entire tape...the beefer bears buying gold and oil short retail stocks...when will the madness stop, your boys on the hill would be well advised to listen to Bud.

Bunkerman said...

sounds OK, frosty. Like Australia did.

The "root cause" of the problems is the beefers and their antics.

Bunkerman said...

freeze credit default swap market, too, except for close-out trades.

Bunkerman said...

heck, Cox should just read Monday's blog - he's got his map to normality there.

Bunkerman said...

The national median existing-home price2 for all housing types was $203,100 in August, down 9.5 percent from a year ago when the median was $224,400.

“The median home price reflects more transactions related to subprime loans,” Yun said. “Fewer than 10 percent of homeowners have subprime loans, but these mortgages are accounting for a disproportionately high share of sales in the current market. On the other hand, areas that have had sharp price cuts are seeing a turnaround in sales, which are rising very fast now in parts of California, Florida and Nevada.”

Total housing inventory at the end of August fell 7.0 percent to 4.26 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 10.4-month supply3 at the current sales pace, down from a revised 10.9-month supply in July

Bunkerman said...

the mortgager rate bump up in August hurt a bit, but inventory still fell.

mfl59 said...

$205k median house value??? in NJ you couldnt buy a house for that price in the middle of the Crips and Bloods headquarters in Newark...

Bunkerman said...

in my hometown in Ohio, that is a fine house.

mfl59 said...

Kenny Heebner now has 30% of his fund in big cap financials....down to 10% in commodity stocks....interesting

Bunkerman said...

I guess he reads this blog ... at least the big fins part

;-)

Bunkerman said...

time for French lesson - back in PM.

maverick said...

ummm... a house sale in Newark is settled with a transfer of chit.

mfl59 said...

why is IBM on the no-short list?

Frosty said...

IBM target of the turbin beefers...short selling is now a matter of national security...toddo preparing for marshall law.

Bunky learning fresch instead of loading belts and changing oil in the tank...he is weak and unprepared.

Bunkerman said...

sheesh frosty ... do you thank my belts, strippers and mags are ever unloaded ?

Or the armor not gassed up & ready ?

Or the "equipment" cleaned & oiled ?

Or the wire unprepared ?

Sheesh.

Bunkerman said...

that is, do you think the "equipment" is not cleaned & oiled ?

French is for my cultural preparedness ... or for the Quebec deep woods.

Frosty said...

LMAOOO...just a test of the emergency smokeout network.

mfl59 said...

or in case you come in contact with the French Foreign Legion during the apocolypse...

Spin-em said...

clap,clap..ENRIQUE!!!!......ENRIQUE!!!!

where is that @##$ %^^ slob with our shrimp cocktails?

Bunkerman said...

or go on a merc raid in French West Africa

;-)

Frosty said...

Bunky you need to stop these rating agencies...WM taking down the xlf with another s&p downgrade...they must be in the pocket of the turbin beefers...fing rating agencies killing us...excuse my french.

Bunkerman said...

agree frosty - they are just ridiculous now. After messing up soo badly, they are trying to look tough now. Just idiots.

SEC or Treasury should hammer them.

mfl59 said...

rating agencies...pfffttt...johnny come latelies....guys in cubicles staring at their calculators....

Frosty said...

Bud...making the rounds with the shine box today me bet...found a better opportunity for you...shoetree margins are very poor.

Buy a Premium Domain Name

PakistaniJokes.com $599

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman will you extend your 8 pm bedtime in order to watch your hero GW Bush give his speech tonight?

Bunkerman said...

lolol mfl ... nfw.

Went to bed at 8PM as usual.

Anonymous said...

I looked on Patrick's site - I think he is against it.

Cleft stick time. I am against it, but I'd be happy to see the whole current system torn down...

If you were looking to prop up the existing mess, then that's a different matter entirely.

It's interesting, btw. Worth reading daily.

Very kind, sir :-)

Anonymous said...

Oh, this might be of interest (or at least contention).