Tuesday, December 2, 2008

More Liquidations ...

Many more hedge funds are liquidating and most of the rest are restricting redemptions.

From FT: "The combination of the worst year on record for hedge fund returns and the biggest withdrawals on record mean the industry’s assets will shrink 35-45 per cent from June to the end of December, according to analysis by Morgan Stanley."

One famous hedge fund is restructuring in a manner similar to banks: "Paul Tudor Jones, who shot to fame and made a fortune when he predicted the 1987 stock market crash, plans to split toxic assets out of his $10bn flagship hedge fund and has suspended redemptions until the restructuring is complete. "

Hedge funds were NEVER a separate "asset class" as promoted to the rich and the pension funds. They were just a speculative, risky way to manage money and overpaid their managers by colossal sums.

Commodity funds were NEVER a separate "asset class" as they did NOT invest is true assets - namely the underlying oil in the ground, or the actual cows. They were just speculating in futures and derivatives. To repeat, they were just a speculative, risky way to manage money and overpaid their managers by colossal sums.

Yesterday's drop was probably a combination of these redemptions plus the public doing some selling after the recent rally plus more tax loss selling.

And the bear beefer mouthpieces and marionettes keep saying it's different this time, and nothing will ever change and an endless current of bad events will occur forever. To me, they sound like the rah rah crowd of late 1999 and early 2000 in reverse. They just don't recognize how fast the America and Americans react. change and adapt.

Let the bears and doomsters has their fun. When the liquidations are done - an unpredictable point in time - like Don Juan in that great opera, Don Giovanni, the unrepentant bears will be sucked into "l'enfer" as a great new bull market begins.

PS: Today I read the EU is interfering with an injection of capital into a German bank. How can the EU survive this ? with both the French and Germans screaming at its bureaucrats, I think the EU will have to be restructured.

Actions

My tax loss selling is done, saving me big $$$. Later this week I can re-allocate some funds in Krypto Fund. Otherwise, I'm doing research to compile a list of stocks to buy that perhaps can provide big profits on the coming bull market. And I means multiples, not mere percentages.

Word of the Day


"l'enfer" - noun [$ ?] French

"l'enfer" means hell, the infernal regions. the underworld. An erudite reader and poster mentioned it as I asked how to tell someone to go to hell in French: Allez à l'enfer ! Doesn't it sound more polite in French ? And more sophisticated ? By the way, this is pronounced, "Allay a longfehr", roughly.

Sentence: This is not armageddon or l'enfer; World War II was that. Stop the whining. Adapt, improvise and more ahead into the unknown like a true pioneer.

46 comments:

Bud said...

Bman why is it so important how 'hedge funds' or 'commodities' are defined ?? of course everyone knows they are just another avenue to make money

seems like you are arguing over syntax......who cares how they are defined

Bud said...

i doubt the EU can survive if the doomsdayers like Roubini are right about this recession


Europeans have a proud and long history of goin to war over much much more silly things

Bud said...

i agree Bman...........bears and doomsdayers are havin alot of fun


but bettin against america has never put anyone in the winners circle.....ever.....of course 'it's different this time'


PS......lemme repeat, i am merely a ping-pong player

Bunkerman said...

I heard so often them selling themselves as an "asset class" to suck in gullible rich & pension funds as "diversification".

It's important to call a quack a quack and not a doctor.

Bunkerman said...

If EU dies - and I support a United States of Euroep strongly, it will be the EU bureacrats and The Ostriche and ECB that kills it.

But the US was created out of tormoil as leaders saw taht they must work together to move ahead.

Maybe EU till morph into the USE.

Spin-em said...

http://www.jon-secada.com/

Bud said...

that jon secada sure is a handsome fella

Spin-em said...

http://www.nassirimusic.com/images/article_images/egypt-download-36.jpg

Bud said...

jon may be handsome


but no contest when it comes to musical talent.......Nassiri by a mile

Bunkerman said...

hmmm whan I hear "secada" I think of a bug - a locust. I see it just sounds like that.

;)

mern said...

Counting stars by candlelight
all are dim but one is bright:
the spiral light of Venus
rising first and shining best,
From the northwest corner
of a brand-new crescent moon
crickets and cicadas sing
a rare and different tune


Terrapin Station
in the shadow of the moon
Terrapin Station
and I know we'll be there soon


In the PHAEDRUS, in a section called "The Myth Of The Cicadas," Socrates relates a creation myth of how cicadas (or, in some translations, "locusts") came to be:


"The story goes that these locusts were once men, before the birth of the Muses; and when the Muses were born and song appeared, some of the men were so overcome with delight that they sang and sang, forgetting food and drink, until at last unconsciously they died. From them the locust tribe afterwards arose, and they have this gift from the Muses, that from the time of their birth they need no sustenance, but sing continually, without food or drink, until they die, when they go the the Muses and report who honors each of them on earth.

Bunkerman said...

jeez, the erudite mern !

Loquacious and erudite is quite a combination. You can attract a really good lady with that.

;)

Frosty said...

Be Patient, and Wait for Better Action
7:43 AM EST
Buying during a downtrend isn't very smart.

thanks jim, will sit here and stuff our faces with doughnuts

Spin-em said...

loooooooooooooool

make check payable to..........

mfl59 said...

jim is a beefer....beware....

Spin-em said...

allez à l'enfer Jim !


looool

Bud said...

what a bunch of bitter and sore losers

Bunkerman said...

To paraphrase Friedrich Bismark in that great movie, Semi-Tough:

I see only winners here. Because you want to be winners, you are winners.

;)

Spin-em said...

with Liz...you feel he wants you to win with him....Jim could care less and runs his people over...YOU just dont get that...bitter?..hardly..but put on your show for marko if you must...loool

mfl59 said...

Your idol treated Bunkerman like he was some scab off the street....

What say you Bud?

Rutgers...lets lay the 10...no worries

Bud said...

what time is Rutgers kickoff ???


'the house that ray rice built'

Spin-em said...

think I remember bunks last argument before the total disrespect fest... about Fibonacci retracement ...and jim said garbage..or something like that...whats woking these days??

mfl59 said...

8 pm Thursday...

I'll be drunk by 630....

lmaooooooooooooooooo

Bunkerman said...

A propos "J__", I remember a line that Burt Reynolds delivered near the end of "Semi Tough" about Friedrich, that fits.

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman where are we sir with the list of sub $10 stocks that are on the radar?

Bunkerman said...

I'm working on it - no hurry. I just want to be ready early January.

Bunkerman said...

Actually, the precise criteria is a good chance at making 5-10x on the money in 2 or 3 years.

$100K to $1 million.

"I have a dream"

;-)

Spin-em said...

prolly wanna load up on ANAD?? 2009's stock of the year??...lmaoooo

Bunkerman said...

I'm open to ideas with a reason attached.

Frosty said...

QOCR is my largest position...what else you want.

Frosty said...

QCOR sorry

Bunkerman said...

wow, what balls.

Four letters and a small drug stock.

No sure if I am man enough.

But I have an open mind.

On the "to research" list

Frosty said...

OSIR another I own, over the $10 criteria...with baby killers ruling USA I have a stem cell basket as well...STEM ASTM GERN...no doubt we will soon harvest babies for spare parts.

Bud said...

QCOR lmaooooooooooo


bitter and sore indeed

Bud said...

don't listen to him Bman on QCOR

he's full of it.......he's bullshitting

that's not right....what if Bman went out and bought 20k shares on that post ??


" Bud 24/7/365 douche "

Bunkerman said...

I like ideas, but as all know, I do my own research & take my own risk: self-responsible.

Bunkerman said...

Any real ideas are appreciated.

mfl59 said...

I wonder if financial television can go more than 5 minutes without asking "is this the bottom?"....

beyond nauseating....time to listen to some Schiano pregame speeches on tape...

Bud said...

what time is Rutgers kickoff ??

Bud said...

some tremendous beefer ping-pong today....been a few days


'thanks jim'

Frosty said...

Bunky...TAN a solar etf I own...like the basket approach, worth a look see.

TOP 10 HOLDINGS ( 55.27% OF TOTAL ASSETS)


Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. ENER 4.98
Evergreen Solar, Inc. ESLR 4.31
First Solar, Inc. FSLR 9.64
LDK SOLAR CO ADR LDK 4.42
MEMC ELECTRONIC MTRL WFR 5.39
Q-CELLS QCE.BE 5.63
RENEWABLE ENERGY REC.OL 5.55
SOLARWORLD SWV.BE 6.13
SunPower Corporation SPWRA 4.44
SUNTECH POWER HLDGS STP 4.78

mfl59 said...

Paul 34 would be so happy that you are a solarian Frosty....

"solar is finished"...oh how Lzrd's words would crush him...

Bud said...

hmmmmmmmmmmmm.....you guys sure like to talk about the place i call home



bitter and sore indeed

Frosty said...

Paul 34...LMAOOO...he's a good guy.

TAN you get decent forgien exposure, and they are serious about solar. Solarworld just opened here, when they float an ADR, I'm in.

Frosty said...

CLNE once Tboone gutting complete...5yr 30% grower, .65 cash trading less than 80% to book.

Frosty said...

QCOR afternoon news on the wires Bunky...looks like a positive development, imagine that...likely a load of bs.