Wednesday, April 30, 2008

A News Hat Trick

Today we get the ADP jobs number, the advance GDP for Q1 and the Fed meeting.

I'll just wait to see what the data are and then think and react. A flat GDP with the Fed going on hold one way or another should bring strength to the dollar and weakness to commodities including oil. So then the beefers will rotate other stocks. Some already have. I heard Gartman called the end to the commodity boom and says buy tech. I've already done that.

C is selling more common, purportedly to the Singapore Investment Fund. It's interesting if they can sell strict common at these levels, well off the lows. I guess they are taking advantage of the rally and getting the decks cleared for their big 'Investor Day' on May 9.

My 'opinion' is that a firm dollar brings huge money to US stocks to position for the economic rebound that I think will occur in late Q2 or Q3. But any reader knows I'm an optimist.

No Word of the Day until I return to the bunker.

I saw cabbage at Wal-Mart this morning for 64 cents a pound. so with those ingredients I posted yesterday, one can make a fine Mulligan Stew for a low cost. That's good food that will feed and energize a fireman all day.

PS: the site is having trouble, so my post was delayed. ADP came in at +10,000 jobs, ok.

PPS: GDP +0.6% a good number. Uh ... that question comes to mind again ;-)

51 comments:

mfl59 said...

mern my condolences on the passing of Dr. Albert Hoffman....

mfl59 said...

Gartman is turning into a jimmie wannabe....if commodities are going up he is long, if they are going down he is "short of" them...pffttt

Bunkerman said...

yeah, he is a bit of a bloviating buncombe artist.

mern said...

no doubt albert hoffman one of my idols!

he lived to 102. hmmmmmmmmmmmmm

GDP .6% CPI is 5%, 6%, 7%, 8% whatever.

is that stagflation?

;-)

Frosty said...

inflation is hihger than 2 year, that is relevant, the exact spread is not, unless one can quantify the ratio attributed to speculation....the 30 yr yeild broke in feb 08', old news indeed.

Frosty said...

Bud...must have crushed you...hurt your feelings in a big way...please don't do anything stupid... truly sorry lil' fella.

maverick said...

can we stop with the ADP numbers.....they are not freakin real...

mern said...

id take the ADP #'s over the bls's dribble.

elaine chao went to harvard. she and cramer work hard to give that institution a bad name.

wonder how the Harvard students that bought BKHM feel?

Bud said...

Dear Sal,

Senator Obama wants to close out this race before every American has a say, but you and I have a different idea -- and so do millions of Americans headed to the polls in the next few weeks.

This race isn't decided yet, no matter what the Obama campaign would like you to think. After our big win in Pennsylvania, more Americans have voted for me than for any other candidate. And just next week, we've got races in North Carolina (where Governor Mike Easley endorsed me yesterday) and Indiana (where we're in a tight race right next door to Senator Obama's home state).

But before those big races on May 6, we're facing a critical deadline. Tonight at midnight, we close the books on our April fundraising -- and the number we report has the power to shape the story of this election. I can't put it any stronger than this: every dollar we bring in by midnight tonight can make the difference in this race.

That's why I need your help today. Will you match a single contribution made by someone who has not given to our campaign before? When you match someone else's contribution with your own before tonight's midnight deadline, your gift is worth twice as much -- every $50 gift is worth $100, every $100 gift is worth $200.

Contribute before our midnight deadline, and your gift is worth twice as much.

Over the course of this campaign, I have relied on you and hundreds of thousands of people just like you. Your time, your hard work, your generosity, and your heart have all sustained me through the ups and downs of this incredible journey.

Some people, including my opponent, would like to declare this race over. They want you and me to just give up. Why? Because every time they think we're out of it we come roaring back -- and now we have a clear path to victory.

Our first step on this path is to show that our campaign is as strong as it has ever been. We have until midnight tonight to get every dollar in the door before our April fundraising deadline. And if you give before midnight tonight, you'll encourage a new donor to contribute, doubling the impact of your gift.

Double your impact and help us win by contributing before the midnight deadline.

I want to thank you for your personal and powerful involvement in this race. It makes such a difference to me to know you're a part of our campaign.

Sincerely,

Hillary Rodham Clinton

Bud said...

i'd love to give you more money Hillary ...but i'm maxed out

you know i'll do anythin for you

keep fightin....never quit

i got your back

Bud said...

2.99 a lb for 80%


what???


i guess that's 80% beef and 20% .....well.....you don't wanna know

Frosty said...

Mindy McCraedy nononono test fire the rocket at 15...his weight gain attributed to eating mass girl scout cookies...media out of control.

Bud said...

frosty thinks he's richie sexson.......he's more like rachel sexson

Bud said...

phil hughes sure looks like a phenom


die yankees die !!!!!

mern said...

i was wondering what the other 20% was as well.


"and here u go waitress... tell the chef this is low grade dog food....geeesh ive had better food at the track. u can still see where the jockey was hitting my meat"

mfl59 said...

Ian Kennedy is the next Greg Maddux!!!

lmaoooooooooooooo

Bunkerman said...

sheesh ... I am having trouble with this site today.

80% meant 80% lean ... sheesh

ADP data are real payrolls they process. BLS numbers are from a survey of personnel depts filling out a form.

mern said...

bman swinging at the knuckle ball today.

lol

well at least rocket waited till she was 18

pfffffffft

what a fine individual

maverick said...

ADP may be real going in but coming out it is fiction

Frosty said...

Bunkerman...dow 15 helmets ready to go?....thanks for those five runs in the ninth yesterday, now you know how Bud feels when I dig in a the dish.

mern said...

we r still waiting for our JPM letters that we supposed to out 2 weeks ago.

we have a 25 yr hot puerto rican from the bronx in the office. she decided to get pregant this month.

SHEER BRILLANCE!

mern said...

In comments that stunned many who heard them, Sen. Vincent J. Fumo said yesterday that his colleagues in the General Assembly would support slavery if given the chance.

"What you are advocating here is that we take away the rights of a minority. And I don't think that's right," Fumo told Gilbert Coleman, Jr., senior pastor of Freedom Christian Bible Fellowship in Philadelphia, during the hearing. ". . . If we introduced a bill on slavery, it might pass. That doesn't make it right."

Fumo is retiring from the Senate this fall after 30 year in office to devote his attention to his September trial on 139 federal corruption counts.

lmao!

Frosty said...

been chomping on this chicken for 3 days now, down to the bones...will be making mrs frost a fine bone necklace while I await the fed.

Spin-em said...

have to see if I can run 4 miles under 40 minutes after "work"...I say it in public for inspiration..bust away..lmaooooo

mern said...

making mrs frost a fine bone necklace


bud in the box. bases loaded, a mike mussina meatball just came down the middle.

gonna touch em all, bud? u know, like a priest.

mern said...

i just farted.

it smells like fire ant killer.

my eyes r bleeding

mfl59 said...

you joining the Navy Seals, spinny?

mern said...

between the elevation and the smog, a 10 minute mile, in scranton, is really quite fast.

in philly ive seen people jog while eating scrapple.

Frosty said...

four miles round trip for a WEN spicy bcn8r...check for the bcn before you leave the window...hold the frosty, bringing home the golf leauge hardware this year indeed.

Bud said...

navy seals? i thought spinny was in the girl scouts

oh wait.....that's frosty

lil' schoolgirl that he is

Frosty said...

uh Bud...not my fault your dream of becoming a jockey was crushed...look to Spin for inspiration...making a run at the senior tour, next stop scranton pub links championship.

Bunkerman said...

I wonder what does best ... the ADP or the BLS after 10 revisions including theh big annual one on the business birth-death model ?

based on the GDP number, it looks like ADP has been more accurate to reality.

Frosty said...

good luck bunker boys...trade well.

mfl59 said...

the Fed really believes inflation will moderate...maybe if they keep saying that over and over they will actually believe it...remember, its only a lie if you don't believe...g costanza

"hank and ben"

lmaooooooooo

mern said...

we all watched melrose place

Bunkerman said...

Ben obeyed ... that is good.

Fischer, Plosser are fools.

Frosty said...

Bunkerman...I don't read one and done...Ben fourth and goal ppffttt.

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman a common man trucker concerned with US dollar weakness sir....he is loosing faith in your boy Ben....what can you say to assuage his concerns over the dollar and inflation sir?

Bunkerman said...

frosty ... Liesman's point about the 8 weeks to next Fed meeting is correct.

Uness data weaken more, Fed is done for the summer.

Bunkerman said...

to common man trucker re dollar, inflation: patience, grasshopper.

Bunkerman said...

ping pong rules,
sell on the news.

real buyers do it on dips,
they don't buy beefer rips.

mfl59 said...

did Brazil just win the war?

Bud said...

goooooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaal!!!!!


chelsea

Bud said...

i love ping-pong

beefers rule !!!!!



die 'uptick rule' die !!!!!!!!

Bud said...

is this 1920s type manipulation?

Frosty said...

no excuses...Ben screwed the pooch again...you think beefers wouldn't have ripped the heart out of the last bears if they had confidence ...of course they would...I don't understand the defense of that POS.

Frosty said...

SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY

mern said...

ronaldo is in hiding.

u gotta wonder if he got a hummer from the tranny before he figured out it was packing a tree trunk instead of a camel toe.

Bunkerman said...

not manipulation ... the poem captures it perfectly ... beefers wanted buyers high to flip trades to, but ... they weren't there ... they await a dip ... so beefers bailed like ... yokels caught in a raid at a speakeasy.

mern said...

Michael Moore

He's backing Obama and talking tough on Clinton. Michael Moore joins Larry King and takes your calls & emails. Tonight, 9 ET

sadly ill be watching the flyers.

Spin-em said...

47 minutes..pffftttttt