Friday, April 4, 2008

TGIF

Another Friday commences after a long week of market swings. Not much has been given up from the big rip up this week, which is interesting as two days of relatively "bad" news brought no intense selling. Since the US jobs number is so often revised substantially, it's hard to conceive that it will be definitive - weakness is expected. As posted in yesterday's comments, the job data is quite erratic as different signs from ADP, Challenger-Grey and the unemployment claims obviates one from educing a defintive trend from the data.

I'm sticking with my "touch & go" economic trajectory ... Battleship Ben is on my side, firing salvos at the bears. About 15 years ago I saw Air Force planes practicing the "touch & go" at the Air Force base in Anchorage, Alaska, in winter. The actual moment of the "touch" is quite exciting. So it is for the economy, too.

Blabberg had that old fool, Soros, on this morning. Ugh ! You can be sure I'll never kiss the butt of some rich, powerful guy just because he once was, or is, rich & successful, no matter what endeavor brought forth his wealth. The words must make sense. So I turned Blabberg off and switched to Babblevision. Perchance I should just hit "mute" ?

I'd be looking hard for a few more good stocks, but my time is taken up with doing my taxes ... ugh ! I do the forms myself using spreadsheets that I've created over the years. Mostly the time is used in making sure that I miss nothing. I use Quicken, so actually getting the annual expenses and income data is rather easy. Still, I file several Schedule C's, am subject to AMT and need many other schedules and worksheets to do the forms correctly and minimize my tax. I slowly plod over the preparation for days :-((

Words of the Day - a trio for comparison

"Converse" - adjective and noun [$ ?]
Converse means (adjective) opposite, contrary, reversed; (noun) 1. a statement formed by another by the transposition of certain words; 2. something that is opposite or contrary.
Sentence: The extreme converse opinion of Bunkerman's "tough & go" economic trajectory is Soros' nouveau Great Depression outlook. Time will tell which, if either, is correct.

"Obverse" - noun and adjective [$10]
Obverse means (noun) 1. the more conspicuous of two possible alternatives, cases or sides: the obverse of this issue; 2. the side of a coin, medal or badge that bears to principal stamp or design: the George Washington silouette is on the obverse of a quarter; (adjective) serving as a counterpoint; 2. facing or turned toward the observer (the obverse side of a statue).
Sentence: (noun) The obverse of the 1 ounce gold American Eagle coin is a classic Lady Liberty holding a torch and olive branch. The reverse contains the two eagles, one flying and the other in the nest.

"Contrapuntal" - adjective (Musical) [$10]
Contrapuntal means of or in counterpoint.
Sentence: Babblevision's standard presentation of an issue with an advocate and then a contrapuntal opponent is so stale and time-wasting; Bunkerman derogates those debates as the "dueling politicians", or "dueling analysts", or "dueling money managers", as approproate.

62 comments:

Bunkerman said...

It's wierd how ADP can be so far off. They have real data from actual payrolls.

Bunkerman said...

This should lock in at least one more Fed rate cut.

Bunkerman said...

Hmmm might get a flat tire or two on my "touch & go" ... time will tell.

Bunkerman said...

The common man is paying for many Fed wrong actions from August thru December ... nothing new.

Bud said...

we already knew job market is tuff

nuthin surprisin here

i'm still bullish.......but that is irrelevant.....i'm a pure momo trader

i'm only interested in beefer ping-pong

"it's scary"

Bunkerman said...

workweek rose ... interesting. Not hiring, some layoffs, but more OT.

Bunkerman said...

I'm still bullish, too. Jobs are a lagging indicator - rear view mirror of the past.

Stocks follow the future.

mfl59 said...

Steven Roach is bearish...I'm shocked....what a miserable dude he is...

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman, what is the difference between traditional term or return of premium term life insurance? what are the pros/cons of each? Thanks sir...


CFA blog indeed

Frosty said...

MLF59 you choice of url is interesting the past couple of days...Bud, can you show mr hunt where to find the porn.

Bunkerman said...

not sure what "return of premium" term life is. Sounds like one pays more and then gets cost back from reinvestment of over payment. What's the point of that ? Life insurance company investment fees are high and net returns often low.

Some whole life can be OK if it can be converted into an annuity at 65 or so. Then it comes down to the fees & investment returns. Shohuld be like a investmetn grade bond.

Bunkerman said...

I've always planned to hold the term until 60 or so, then drop it once I can dreaw from retirement funds. Also savings by then should be high.

Life insurance is really no different than a bond fund in an IRA. Some of the guarantees are ok. Need a highly rated one, like Northwestern mutual, TIAA, etc.

Frosty said...

Bunkerman...when you are 60...I thought you were in for 70's or early 80's...is that a typo.

Bunkerman said...

more ping pong.

Spin-em said...

cnbc re Seth Tobias......goin straight to hell with Sammy..lool

Bunkerman said...

I'm reincarnated from a prior life ... the soul of the 1930s person is very strong ;-))

mfl59 said...

Copper closing in on $4.....as you know bunkerman it is said copper has a Phd in economics....

perhaps the US slowing, but that price lends credence to a world economy that is still chugging along....I read an article that says the pull from India, China, and Brazil is still huge...

no wonder you are bullish Bud...

Bud said...

Dear Sal,


With 18 days to go until the people of Pennsylvania vote, the Obama campaign has decided to go all-out. They're trying to end the race for the White House with an unyielding media blitz. Right now, we're being outspent 4-1 on Pennsylvania television.

So now, here's what we have to ask ourselves: Have we come this far in our history-making contest for the Democratic nomination only to see the race decided not by the quality of our ideas but by the size of our opponent's media budget?

Not a chance -- not if you and I have anything to say about it. And, believe me, we do.

Don't let a sea of Obama ads overwhelm our powerful message in Pennsylvania. Contribute now.

Everywhere I campaign in Pennsylvania, I meet people who are bearing the brunt of George Bush's failures on the war, the economy, health care, and other critical issues.

They're eager to hear our powerful call for change. But, we need more ads on the air to make sure our message gets through to people.

With just 18 days to go, please step up and help us close the Obama campaign's 4-1 advantage. Contribute now.

Everything is on the line in Pennsylvania and the states to follow. And we still have the only advantage any campaign should hope for -- the ability to determine our fate by how hard we work and how determined we are to pull through to victory.

This is one of the closest, most spirited contests for the Democratic nomination we've ever seen. And I have to tell you: I wouldn't want to be going through this remarkable experience with anyone other than you.

With a little over two weeks to go, let's give it everything we've got.

Sincerely,


Hillary Rodham Clinton

Bud said...

barack pourin $$$ into PA

my girl needs help......i'll always be therefor her

sent her 100bux (upto 1550 now i believe)



die obama die !!!!!!

mfl59 said...

Go helmet head hillary!!!

Bunkerman said...

McCain sent me a fund letter wiht a fine picture of him & wife. Hmmm he wants me to sent $28,500 to RNC for McCain Victory Fund.

Bud, What should I do ? It's a nice picture ;-)

Bud said...

Bman can i get you to make a contribution to Hillary?

you want her to keep fighting......surely you don't want the race to end in PA

come on Bman......do it

Bunkerman said...

Seems like McCain will be using public money for general election ... interesting

D's to be in the pocket of fat cats.

Converse of normal situation.

Bud said...

uh.... wait til dem race ends

if obama is the nominee......i'll even contribute to mccain victory fund


mac is back!! mac is back!!

Frosty said...

Bud... a switch hitter, covers both sides of the plate...very tobias like...when your avg is below the medoza line dose it realy matter.

Spin-em said...

Obama same sappy ads as every other politician.."change"...pffttt

Bud just give Hilldogs her allowance all at once...why you making her cut your grass for the $100 a week?

Bud said...

come on spin......make a contribution to hillary

i'll never make fun of your 28bux course again

scranton rocks!!!!!!

Bud said...

sorry frosty.........can't offer you the same deal

i don't care if you send hillary any cash

you make me puke

Bunkerman said...

I think I'll send McCain some $ ... maybe a single load ;-)

Spin-em said...

lmaooooooooooooooooooo

ohh maan

mern said...

bud likes to spread his loads around.

ROFLMFAO!

bud what if hildog gets the VP nod from barrack?

she wud puke and say no, but it may help him win the big dance.

i can see her and bill now, discussing barracks idea to have hildog be VP.

hildog "i cant believe that dumbo eared nigger thinx i wud be his bithch!?!"

slick willy "calm down, u know i get hot when your kankles start to sweat. i say take the job and wait for david duke to snipe obama. seriously how long before the KKK kills the porch monkey?. then u r president. i can move back in, ive got elliots little black book."

hildog "ok willy, but when we move in, janet stays in my bedroom. and stop trying to have 3 ways with chelseas friends, both men and women. DEAL?"

willy "the clintons r coming home! DEAL!"

hildog "ok now go get me my nightly supply of aborted fetuses, i need to eat. mmmmmmmmm, stem cells"

Frosty said...

wear a cup, hardly...playing with the jewels fully exposed...much like Bud playing the likns from the tips.

Bunkerman said...

Art Cashin agrees with Bunkerman on the uptick rule :-))

Frosty said...

mern...if the chum boy was a real freind you would wrtie some new material for him...you watsed already...can't wait for the 4pm post.

Frosty said...

give me a call, 876-5309.

Bud said...

no he doesn't Bman

they had a more detailed conversation about it earlier

he said removal of uptick rule does make it easier to push stox around.............but.....he doesn't want the rule changed

he said it's basically noise....which it is

i hope SEC does reinstate it though......so the cry babies will stop whinin

mern said...

im shooting speed balls at the office and playing solitaire.

i was just doing heroin but they told me its not gud to fall asleep at work, so the coke gives it an edge and keeps me awake.

maybe if i eat a bunch of acid i can convince myself this is just all a very bad dream, and jerry is still alive and playing like it was 1977.

Spin-em said...

cant believe they would turn down a winning ticket..HillBama.....unless the Dem leadership cant handle a potential (gulp)16 more years of Clintons....They would rather lose than work together???....loool

mfl59 said...

Frosty I thought your number was 867-5309 sir...

Frosty said...

uh..MLF 59...that is jenny...strike one :)

mfl59 said...

lmaoooo....i misread that pitch badly....that curve ball made my knees buckle...

Spin-em said...

Die Mets Die!!!

Frosty said...

Bunkerman...people pissing and moaning about the rate of M2 increase...you track weekly, yes...worried?

Bud said...

uh.............i'm not gettin this phone number joke

Bman are you gettin it? please explain

Bunkerman said...

no ... M2 is too broad ... includes much taht is not "money"

Monetary Base is "money"

M1 is close, too.

M2 means nothing.

Bunkerman said...

no, I don't get it, Bud. Very obscure ... unless it's a real phone number ex area code.

Bunkerman said...

Monetary base and M1 have very little growth ... too little.

I usually comment on those on Monday posts.

Bud said...

it's some sort of stupid joke that these guys are gettin amused over

curve ball my ass

more like a 55footer

mern said...

ya 867- 5309 jenny #'s was barely played at all during the mid 80's.

even i got that one. usually i have no idea what frosty is talking about.

loved watching andy yesterday. "i had no idea how much biz we were losing while on the golf course. i kept getting blackberry messages about vague rumors, but as i stated on cnbc on march 13th (from the golf course) we have 18 billion in cash and its biz as usual. it was not until i flew back to NYC and went to the headquarters did i find out we were BK. i guess in hindsight, maybe, i shud have flown back to NYC on monday and taken a real peak at the train wreck. hell ive been here for 30 yrs, so i pretty much knew the books were toast when i took over"

ill be busy this weekend sucking jamie dimons toe jam.

Frosty said...

Spin...see you chased the hildog from scracton, all the way to south alaska, cakles dragging her fat aazzz to frostville...yes I will be on a flight out, no way I can stand the stench.

enough to make tommy totone puke.

Frosty said...

HELP WANTED: immediate opening for a wingman :)

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman did you graduate higher in your Harvard class than Elaine Chao? if so well done sir...

Bud said...

HELP WANTED: immeadiate opening for a hitman

location of job : south alaska

Frosty said...

uh Bud...snipers indeed sir...I can see the headlines now...who do you want on the other end of the line when it hits the fan...of course BIG JOHN.

looks like I pitched another nononono this week...look out nolan, 7 gonna fall.

Bunkerman said...

hmmm guess it was like PE6-5000, a great Glenn Miller song.

Sigh ... modernity sucks

Frosty said...

joe sixer get's those statements this weekend...buy the dips indeed.

Bunkerman said...

Martini time soon.

Have a good weekend.

Spin-em said...

MOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!

great weekend everybody!!!!

mfl59 said...

enjoy the weekend all...

Bud are you still bullish sir?

Frosty said...

have a good weekend.

Spin-em said...

Let er rip mern........

mfl59 said...

$109 million over the last 7 years...and she calls herself a pioneer of the common man?

come on Bud...wake up sir...