Wednesday, November 5, 2008

What Now ?

Obama wins. Now we are to get "change". I wonder what that means ? The biggest problem Obama will face is that he has no specific mandate to do anything except raise taxes on high income people. Other than that, he didn't specify what "change" he wanted. That's going to cause him problems building a governing consensus in Congress, even with his majorities in both houses.

Obama won by a rather small margin - just 5% in the popular vote. The nature of the Electoral College system provides a decisive result for small margins. The margin of victory in Ohio was about 4% - 200,000 votes. W won it by about 100,000 votes in 2004. In Florida, the margin of victory was 2% - 200,000 votes there, too. If those two states swung for McCain and a couple smaller ones, too, the result would be different. Obama won, but not by enough for much mandate for sweeping "change".

And expectations are very, very high due to his vague, but sweeping, rhetoric. Well, he will the press on his side for awhile. I suppose we'll soon be hearing of his canonization as a saint or his elevation to demi-god. The press likes to do that when their man wins.

On Blabberg I heard parts of a remarkably hostile and aggressive speech by Russian President Medvedev. They are clearly going to push for more world power. Trouble to come ...

Markets

My guess is that optimistic European buying drove up prices yesterday as they are ecstatic on Obama's election. The afternoon followthru was probably caused by expectations of a very large stimulus package that the Democrats will surely push.

Actions

Doing nothing.

Word of the Day

"Homunculus" - noun [$10]; I saw this word reading Goethe's "Faust", part II.
Homunculus means a little man, a manikin.
Sentence: The coming deification of Obama by his worshippers in the press and the Olympian expectations he has created with vague promises make his probable decent to being merely human quite risky. Will the path of that decent take him straight the status of homunculus in the eyes of the public and DC ruling classes ?

39 comments:

Spin-em said...

YES WE CAN....YES WE CAN....YES WE CAN

Bunkerman said...

ughhhhh

Bud said...

have to disagree Bman........W won by a smaller margin in 2000 and governed like he won a landslide

the angry left has been very hungry to get in power......and pelosi and obama are both ultra-lefties

i have no doubt that they will easily ram thru a bunch of liberal programs thru the house.....blue dogs may not like it but politiicans rarely stand up to their own president


we got a very good example of that in 2002-6.......the fiscal conservatives did not stand up to Bush and Hastert's free spending ways

Bud said...

for our purposes.......i'd love to see jamie dimon as treasury secretary

any one from wall street is crucial.......if obama appoints an academic from the university of chicago economics department......we are in big trouble

Bunkerman said...

W couldn't get crap passed without kissing the D butts.

The only thing they can do easily is make changes in the Budget resolutions - that's how W got his tax bills thru ... and why they sunsets.

mfl59 said...

rumors flying that Jon Corzine will be tapped as the next Treasury Secretary....I say fine...get him the f%^k out of New Jersey....

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman what is your opinion of the electoral college?

Spin-em said...

Rendell transportation secretary???

Ever drive thru on PA roads??..tried to put 15 toll booths on I 80.....wants to raise the sales tax to 7%....hold on to your wallets kids

yes they can..yes they can

Bunkerman said...

I like the Electoral College very much.

Bud said...

i am a big fan of the electoral college...........especially now

the mooly-nans and spics are havin alot of babies in the big states like new york and california......democrats are gonna arack up big popular vote margins in such states

mern said...

I TOLD YA IN FEB!!!!!!!!

next prediction.

eagles 24 steelers 16 in the super bowl, and donny is your MVP.

bman doesnt it bother u that the states bush err i mean mcant took, for the most part, fought for slavery? or in utahs case.............

if it werent for the snowbirds in florida, he wud have won here.

this is not an opinion this is a straight up fact. ive lived for 22 years in the northeast and 15 in the south.

obama took all the states that have gud public education.

palin helped win the bible vote. and thats the biggest thing for me and why i am so happy.

the economy is fucked proper, no matter who won.

so we can really only try to fix the other thing killing this country and that is GOD DAMN FUCKING STUPID BIBLE THUMPERS AND RELIGION IN GENERAL!

obama already learning from buffett and volcker. he is going straight to the middle and taking pelosi with him.

U WATCH!

mern said...

Rendell transportation secretary???

ROFLLLLLLLL

so true!

the turnpike is the worst, jerry, the worst!

mern said...

come on spin, the turnpike and PA roads in general have been a mess since before i was born in 1971

mfl59 said...

Joe Wurtzelbacher 2012!!!!

GOP is back baby!!!

Spin-em said...

58 million to 52 million...yes the smart educated people voted for Magic.ppffttt

Spin-em said...

yeah winters are tough on the roads but 20 guys standing around while one guy digs??loool

Spin-em said...

Im goig to be a no help piss my pants bitch machine like you were for 4 years.....loool...

WHEN DO WE GET OUR CHECKS????..I WANT MY CHECK!!

Bud said...

As Clint Eastwood might say, "Are you feeling lucky?"

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Direxion says that the eight 3x leveraged ETFs should launch on Wednesday. They're part of some 36 in the works. (See related story here.)

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Are you f'ng kidding me??? where is the SEC.....this is pure and simple gambling

at least you can get a drink and a hooker in vegas

Bud said...

Bman for SEC chairman !!!!


oh wait.....he wants to outlaw shorting and day-trading.....never mind

Bunkerman said...

shorting & day rading are fine ... for people.

For beefers, the straight jacket and or hog-tied..

maverick said...

Bud....................

pavi pat homer

they all miss you

homer asks everyday

where's my lil buddy?

send jim $6k

Bud said...

pat loooooooooooooooooool


'new under armor shoes'

mfl59 said...

did you guys know that pat went to Wharton?

lmaooooooooooooo

Spin-em said...

my son says........

Bunkerman said...

I guess dejected R's are selling to move to Costa Rica.

Spin-em said...

loooooool

Spin-em said...

here's an idea....why dontcha try to make the playoffs first.....

Bud said...

how many americans have lost 3 straight presidential elections ??

prolly less than 5%......i am in that group

Bunkerman said...

I hope your football picks work out better.

;-)

Bud said...

don't listen to these losers Bman.........i'm very good at football picks


i'm just ice cold right now...........watch out when i get hot


die rutgers die !!!!!

Bud said...

Bman do you have a preference for treasury secretary from the names rumored ??

mfl59 said...

Im sure youll be taking LSU and Vanderbilt this weekend.....like any good bookmaker I recognize your betting patterns...

Spin-em said...

frosty did mention that last night in the bunkerboys rat pack ah rap session....

Bunkerman said...

I haven't been listening to the rumor game re Obama. waste of time.

maverick said...

hearing 7-11 selling out of colt 45

Frosty said...

Bunky...did you catch your girlfriend merideth on cnbc...man she is good...sweet as sugar.

mern said...

how many americans have lost 3 straight presidential elections ??

prolly less than 5%......i am in that group

um actually u lost twice this time. u shit 2500 on hildog then 2500 on mcfool.

that makes u at least in the top 1%with the other puma morons!

if palin wud have gotten in there about the first week she wud have started talking in tongues "REMRUM REDRUM", then ice pick mccain to death, then start pushing red buttons all in the name of jesus christ. u know jesus christ, the son of god, but who is actually god, and was created without any fucking................

a la, jesus, can both sux my cock!

religion sux

humans sux

fine sarah, push the red button, i want out anyway!

Frosty said...

uh Mark...no reach around for the Hawks...sad how bitter you have become.

Spin-em said...

sounds like Triidad and Tobago said kiss my ass nononomo lick mista mern geezer


hang in there pal