Wednesday, November 19, 2008

What to Do ?

I was asked yesterday by a loquacious commentor what Barry - aka Obama - should do for a stimulus plan. As this writer is NOT a purist - pharisaic - libertarian, but favors maximum freedom for the common man with strong limits on the ruling classes, you should not be surprised that I favor a large stimulus bill, properly used.

Barry should propose a $1 trillion economic stimulus that would be spent over two years - $500 billion per year.

The money should go to the following productive investments:

1. Generalized infrastructure - roads, bridges, railroads, ports, airports, air traffic control, high speed rail between major cities within 300 miles of each other, nationwide fiber optic Internet, wireless Internet in major cities, etc.

2. Purchase foreclosed homes and rent them to lower income people under a rent-to-own contract as long as they maintain the home and actually live there for ten years. This contract could be assignable with consent of government with suitable anti-speculation rules.

Barry should also request massive global regulation on hedge funds and all aspects of global hot money. Investors in hedge funds should be required to invest for a minimum of three years - complete, strict lock-up. Hedge fund managers should be taxed on all management income as ordinary income. Of course, massive regulation of all derivatives should also be required.

Current dividend and capital gains tax rates should be kept, as they really just help lesson the double taxation of corporate income.

Also, I DO favor some kind of auto industry aid, however distasteful for that failed management and labor clique. When one buys a car, one expects the company will be around to provide service, parts, etc., and a re-sale on the trade in. An auto industry bankruptcy might seriously affect that perception with fearsome unintended consequences. In addition, the chain of bankruptcies throughout the supply chain can be enormous as payments are disrupted. This unknown is not needed now. For $25-$50 billion in aid, it's worth avoiding.

Congress wastes that much on worthless earmarks every year.

Markets

More tax loss selling is and will occur, but there do seem to be "real" nibblers buying these dips.

I have more tax loss selling to do. This is really saving me a lot of money. The timing difference between realized gains and unrealized losses can be substantial if one invests for a longer time period. I mostly re-invest in something else immediately, but do wait a bit for some, as I have other wash sale rules to carefully watch.

PS: Also, doe sanyone else notice how much of this trouble is now located in Europe ? I wonder when The Ostrich, aka ECB chief Trichet, will cut rates to a realistic level. ECB and Bank of Engalnd should cut rates to 1%.

Word of the Day

"Sadduce" - noun [$10] or "Sadducee" - this word contrasts "Pharisaic"
Sadduce means a member of a Jewish sect or party at the time of Christ that denied the resurrection of the dead, the existence of spirits, and the obligation of the traditional oral law.
Sentence: Perhaps Bunkerman is more like a sadducaic libertarian, as he opposes the strict pharisaic - purist - interpretation and favors practical limits on the rich and powerful to prevent them from oppressing the common man, re-creating an aristocracy and permitting their antics from harming the global economy. And he also denies the existence of the god or demigod of the "market" as correct interpreter or diviner of the future of the world.

23 comments:

Bunkerman said...

I read the CMBS marekt is shaken by two defaults of recent loans. Hmmm both were underwritten from "projections". How stupid can one be, to make a loan on "projections" ?

That's an equity risk.

It took awhile, but I guess some excesses got to there, too.

The recurring stupidity.

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman here is a blog entry from this year's Libertarian Party VP candidate....speaking about the Big 3 bailout...Have a read and critique as you see fit if you get a chance...You too Patrick...

http://www.rootforamerica.com/blog/

mern said...

Investors in hedge funds should be required to invest for a minimum of three years - complete, strict lock-up.

like everything in the lead post, but that sentence, is that really doable?

sometimes, if the ruling class, have extraordinary events and may need to cash out, no?

here is what i was upto last nite

I: Jam > Shakedown Street > Easy Answers, Queen Jane Approximately, Loser, Salt Lake City > Ramble On Rose, Playin in the Band > Might as Well
II: Blackbird@, Artificial Flowers@, El Paso@, He's Gone > Eyes of the World > Stuff > Playin in the Band (reprise), Standing on the Moon, Foolish Heart
E: Attics of My Life

Previous ''Artificial Flowers'' 11/14/2007 [62 shows]; Previous ''Salt Lake City'' 3/23/2007 [106 shows]

both first time hearing artificial and salt lake city.

very strong show. that was pure rock and roll last nite. they didnt dick around!

Bunkerman said...

core CPI negative month over month.

headline -1%, too.

I guess the inflation mongers were a bit off.

Bunkerman said...

if they "might" need to money, don't invest in a hedge fund.

Bunkerman said...

hedge fund investors should have plenty of other assets to use to meet "life events"

mern said...

bman where u been. i flipped when i saw harrison stay stagger lee was dead and deflation looms, like 3 months ago.

im scared poopless

mern said...

lets say u r, i dunno, donald trump and u have 500% of your net worth in non liquid real estate, and your wife wants a big fat check to go away.

i agree with that thesis in a vacum, but i dont know if it practical outside of the bunk. i suppose u cud make exceptions, like taking money out of a 401k early. either its really taxed hard or if u have some insane event, and no other means of paying a debt off.

mern said...

SARAH PALIN MUST BE SO PISSED!

The breakthrough allowed Claudia Castillo, 30, to receive a new section of trachea -- an airway essential for breathing -- without the risk that her body would reject the transplant.

Castillo was given the stem cell surgery, the controversial branch of medicine that some say could lead to human cloning, after suffering a severe lung collapse.

world r colliding jerry

Spin-em said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Bunkerman said...

that was directed at the Fed idiots like Plosser, not you, mern.

Bunkerman said...

well, spin, the guy/gal would have to be able to pay the rent - a reasonable level - with money from a real job.

I'm not talking about low income housing.

At teast the lawn has to be mowed.

And if he doesn't pay/maintain it - it's a simple eviction, not another foreclosure.

Bunkerman said...

back later this PM ... gotta go to the PRC.

mfl59 said...

AA caught a nice downgrade to sell this morning by JP Morgan...

mern was that you sir?

mfl59 said...

Bunkerman what time does sheep herding class start?

Bunkerman said...

I thought my rent-to-own idea as a better way for lower income people to buy homes. The 10 year rent period would give them a way to "earn" a down payment. After 10 years, the home is sold to them subject to an affordable 80% LTV loan.

Bunkerman said...

No sheep today. I'm back from PRC and will be doing French all afternoon in the sunroom.

Spin-em said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Frosty said...

Bunky your heros at the FED pulled their heads from their aazzzsss...raised my grade to F+, hey it's a start.

mfl59 said...

perhaps Ben should go back to playing intramural squash at Princeton....

mern said...

did i miss something, while napping?

never seen comments removed.

must have been a dozzy!

lol

mern said...

i just bought a new book on AMZN its called "Sarah"

how a hockey mom turned the political establishment upside down.

LMAO

ya she got people like me to vote for the spear chucker. well played, mam...................

mfl59 said...

Bud are you up at West Point scouting Army for Saturday's game against Rutgers?