Thursday, July 17, 2008

More on Short Selling

I do NOT want short selling banned. Short selling is a legitimate way to profit from recognizing and finding overpriced stocks and frauds. Short sellers like the famous Jim Chanos and Ray Dirks provide a public service and must NOT be restricted. But ... you knew a "but" was coming ... just as practices and abuses creating bubbles on the upside should be eliminated, so should practices and abuses on the down side.

Selling short shares that are not actually borrowed is a ridiculous abuse. The SEC should impose these rules over every stock. And should not give exemptions to option market makers as that is just a loophole the beefers can drive a truck through. And the SEC should NOT let these rules be circumvented via ETFs or via swaps or futures. Letting beefers sell short nonexistent shares is a colossal abuse and is sheer manipulation. It's incredible that this practice was so widespread and shows how corrupted the SEC is.

And the SEC should reimpose the uptick rule. As I wrote yesterday, there IS a difference between normal buying and selling and short selling. There is a human psychological difference between gains and losses. So a rule that helps prevent bears raids is a good one and is in the public interest.

The growth of short selling has been simply colossal since 2006. Today's WSJ has a chart showing the number of shares sold short has doubled in just two years to 18 billion shares for the NYSE and 10 billion for NASDAQ. In dollars, this is about $1 trillion. If one took into account the effective short positions in options and futures, that number would be much higher. Today's Financial Times reports "Shares sold short rose four-fold to $5,000bn in the three years to 2006, according to research from the London Business School, and the price of shorting rose about 300 per cent." Incredible.

Cost of short selling are rising, according to both WSJ and FT.

Hello bubblewatchers - this short selling binge sure seems like a bubble before our eyes. Maybe the SEC and UK regulators actions might prick it before more damage is done.

Travel: I go on an annual outing this afternoon to the North Woods and return on Saturday night. So no post will made on Friday.

PS: Gasoline demand was flat vs. prior weeks. No summer driving season exists this year. That peak is now a flat plain.

PPS: Why oh why does "asking questions" and "expressing worries" nowadays pass for analysis ?

Word of the Day

"Miasma" - noun (plural) [$10] (another word card from high school days 40 years ago)
Miasma means a pervasive influence or atmosphere that tends to deplete or corrupt.
Sentence: Washington DC is ungulfed in a miasma of the lobbyists, legal profession, and power seekers. The SEC is corrupted by its staff and commisioners who want jobs at Wall Street firms, their law firms and hedge funds, so it shades rules and regulations to their benefit and not for the common man.

63 comments:

Bunkerman said...

JPM EPS for Q2 is 54 cents, vs. expectations of 44 cents ... and Meredith estimated 34 cents.

Blog 2, Meredith 0.

Bunkerman said...

PNC Bank beats by $0.21, beats on revs (57.91 )

Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $1.37 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.21 better than the First Call consensus of $1.16; revenues rose 12.0% year/year to $2.04 bln vs the $1.85 bln consensus.

Another good bank report.
I wonder if Meredith covers PNC ?

Bud said...

gimme a f'ng break!!


i let it slide yday but not today

meredith said last summer that the balance sheets of american banks and brokers are toast......since then the stox been clobberred......i wonder how the shareholders of these banks feel? vindicated?....i don't think so


2-0


pffffffffffffffffft

Bunkerman said...

I wrote yesterday, "this season" re Meredith.

and have poointed out quite often since May that she was going overboard on the negativity.

So her beefer masters knocked the stocks down way too far ... and jsut a few days ago she reitereates even more negative cuts on their EPS.

that is called being wrong now.

Bunkerman said...

UTX beats EPS, substantial rise vs. last year.

Whither recession ?

Bunkerman said...

sheesh ... HOG prelim $0.95 vs $0.76 First Call consensus; revs $15.7 bln vs $1.40 bln First Call consensus

Guess the Harley consumers aren't "spent out"

Bud said...

what are the percentages on 'ops expo' thursday??


let's play some ops expo today !!!!!



pffffffffffffffffffft

Bud said...

interesting ....so you started the clock yesterday


so if i bought LEH or MER or C a few months ago those losses are wiped out????? were they imaginary??? my cost on C is now 15? LEH is 14??


LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Bud said...

accordin to the Bman .....no one can be honest

everyone at the SEC wants wall street jobs.......so then whyynot just disband it??

Bud said...

The Bman's commentary on america's financial crisis the last few months is a miasma of dreams and denial.

Bunkerman said...

That's not the "game" Bud. The correctness of her estimates and research is the game that I'm scoring and that I've comment on quite often.

I think she would have lost people money on WFC and JPM so far.

2-0.

Bunkerman said...

lol, Bud re miasma.

true re denial that panic would/could go so far.

I underestimated the beefer herd mentality in grazing so far beyond reality.

But I guess they believed Meredith like a goddess.

mfl59 said...

Phil plus 8 thru 12 holes...vijay plus 11....what the heck is going on over there?

damn Bud...you'd have to give Vijay 2 a side at this pace...

Bud said...

my advice to veejay......"the claw"

Bud said...

i luv this course.......only problem......i can't use my putter in those bunkers

Bunkerman said...

She still has three big "at-bats" so can pull it off.

Time will tell.

Bunkerman said...

hmmm "putter in the bunker" ... I'll leave that one alone

;-)

Bunkerman said...

"Gartner says worldwide PC market grew 16% in second quarter of 2008 "

whither the "recessing" ?

Bunkerman said...

From Briefing.com: "Housing Starts Point to Stabilization"


uh ... well, you know what I'm thinking.

;-)

mern said...

Andy Dick was arrested early Wednesday for investigation of drug use and sexual battery after the comedian allegedly pulled down a teenager's tank top, police said.


The former co-star of the TV sitcom "NewsRadio" was released from a detention center after posting $5,000 bail. Calls to his representatives seeking comment were not immediately returned.

Police were called to the Buffalo Wild Wings in Murrieta, California, at about 1:13 a.m. to investigate a report of "an intoxicated male" urinating outside the bar and causing a disturbance, according to a police statement.

When they arrived, a 17-year-old girl told police that she was outside when Dick left the bar, walked up, "grabbed her tank top and bra and pulled them down and exposed her breasts," the statement said.

Friends escorted Dick to a truck, which officers stopped at a nearby Sam's Club, police said.

Dick was identified by the teenager and a witness, police said.

Marijuana and the drug Xanax were found his pants pockets during a search and he appeared "extremely intoxicated," police said.

Dick, 42, was booked at Southwest Detention Center in French Valley, California, on suspicion of felony possession of a controlled substance, misdemeanor sexual battery and misdemeanor possession of marijuana.

Dick has a reputation for crude behavior. He has been reported to have exposed himself to audiences at least twice. He was forcibly removed from the set of the show "Jimmy Kimmel Live" last year after he repeatedly touched guest Ivanka Trump without her permission.

Also last year, Dick was cited in Columbus, Ohio, for urinating on the sidewalk. A comedy club owner in the city said the actor also made inappropriate comments while onstage, groped patrons, took women into the men's room and urinated on the floor and on at least one person.

In 1999, Dick was arrested for possession of cocaine and marijuana after driving his car into a telephone pole in Hollywood, California. He pleaded guilty but the charges were dismissed after he went into a diversion program.

i think this mug shot is better than nick noltes becuase he is clearly amused by being arrested.

A DICK for president!

lets make it 12 yrs running!

mfl59 said...

my firm told me in no uncertain terms this morning..."you are done shorting financial stocks"....lmaoooooooooooooooo

Bud said...

is this 1920s manipulation?

Bunkerman said...

hmmm mfl ... maybe they were lending you virtual shares and cannot do that anymore ;-)

Bud said...

ditto mfl


only buy orders allowed in american banks


what a joke

mern said...

mfl, thats awesome!

did they give you current butter rates and tell u, that u get a free toaster if u go 200% long?

u wanna own the fins, like the bman, in size the next 20 something days.

squeeze city

so much for toddo's deflation thesis, again.

stagger lee is here, its real, and aint going away, this decade.

the top will be 13k ish.

"margin call gentlemen. u know the rules, all accounts to be settled at the ends of the days trading. NO EXCPETIONS!"

"U KNOW VERY WELL WE DONT HAVE 394 MILLION DOLLARS............IN CASH!"

Bunkerman said...

well, Bud, I'm sure if I sold my large longs in fins - I own "real"
shares - , the firm would accept the order.

;-))

I guess your firm was lending you virtual shares, too.

I wonder how much of that has been going on ?

Frosty said...

I suspect mern is a shorter, balder, less attractive versoin of andy dick...should dick make a mike meyers movie mern would be perfect for the role of minidick.

Frosty said...

taken from a Spinny private email...30% odds mern swings by monday.

mern said...

bob, y do i have a feeling when u watched road trip when a dick said he wasnt a drug dealer but he cud set them up with a 14 yr old boy, u got half a chubby.

y am i even here, was up till 430 am, with some SKANK.

probably shud have wrapped it but once i had my tongue up her ass, i figured what the hell!

gun to head, i have no idea what her name is.

lol

maybe

lanna?

Spin-em said...

LUBBOCK, Texas (AP) - A slice of cool, fresh watermelon is a juicy way to top off a Fourth of July cookout and one that researchers say has effects similar to Viagra _ but don't necessarily expect it to keep the fireworks going all night long.

Watermelons contain an ingredient called citrulline that can trigger production of a compound that helps relax the body's blood vessels, similar to what happens when a man takes Viagra, said scientists in Texas, one of the nation's top producers of the seedless variety.

mern said...

mccain was asked y do some health plans pay for viagra and not birth control?

he responded.

um, i dont know.

ROFL

none of the above, indeed!

Bunkerman said...

good luck, wrapping up packing.

ugh, heard the WB news.

Frosty said...

WB perp walks coming...Bunky what say you...another bone sure to get picked appart across fin land...regulation, careful what you ask for.

Spin-em said...

dont forget the bowling pins!!..have fun sir

mern said...

The Commerce Department reported Thursday that construction of single-family homes dropped by 5.3 percent in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 647,000 units, the weakest performance since January 1991, another period when the housing industry was going through a severe downturn.

not the facts per say, just some data mining

Frosty said...

yes Bunky have a great outing...the smell is gun powder is the viagra of the common man...exhale and squeeze.

mern said...

confusing

the smell is gun powder is the viagra of the common man...exhale and squeeze.


is this what you say to malaysian teen age boys or is that a line from "deer hunter"?

mern said...

Barack Obama's campaign today announced it raised $52 million last month -- more than double the amount rival John McCain brought in.

bud, big mac needs a check!

funny big mac thinks he even has a shot.

this will look like clinton vs dole in 96.

mern said...

Outside the contested rape joke, the most notorious of McCain's gags about women's looks came in 1998, when Chelsea Clinton was 18.

"Why is Chelsea Clinton so ugly?" he asked guests at a Senate Republican fundraiser. "Because her father is Janet Reno."

LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Spin-em said...

a big ol pile of shiiiiiiiiffffft-work!!..lol

Frosty said...

mern have your black freinds shunned you sir...now that you are just another honky.

http://www.honky.net/

Spin-em said...

A one-eyed, one-horned, flyin' honky skankazzeater

mern said...

But the law of unintended consequence applies here, too. Unintentionally (one presumes), the government also sent a message that America's commitment to free market capitalism is conditional, i.e., only when the markets are moving higher.


this blog must be making the rounds on the street.

mern said...

friends?

i dont have white, black or yellow friends.

im a total asshole

ive burned every bridge in my family that aint dead.

all my friends r dead or total drug addicts (ie, dont speak to them)

finally the worst of the lot is in a 9 month rehab facility and living in a homeless shelter.

he has been emailing and i ve been supportive. but i just cant see him making it. he is a self entitled crack head. he blew through a mil bucks in his 20's. blew another couple hundred grand of him moms dough this decade. he sent me an email asking me y he is treated like a red headed step child by his family.

u got that? he was handed over 1.2 million dollars and he is a red head step child.

a microcasm for y this country is on the decline.

Bud said...

i guess there's no algorithm for ops expo thursday


pffffffffffffffft

Frosty said...

100% chance the karochi exchange will be stoned.

Frosty said...

touchem all frost

Spin-em said...

I'm your friend mern.....

mern said...

as my old coked out owner of chatfield dean said (wired out of his skull trying to pump up 100 rogue brokers after cutting the payout)

"U WANNA DOG, GET A FRIEND!"

ok sandy, do another line!

rofl

goog sandy dean greenberg.

man that is one funny guy!

i respect crooks like him becuase he is like "hi i am sandy greenberg, cocaine fan, and oh by the way, i just stole your wallet. sorry! wanna do some blow and possibly share my wife?"

Bud said...

i love that karachi stock exchange story


our stox are down!!!......let's ransack the exchange

come on Bman.......why don't you rambo the nyse

Bud said...

touch'em all?

gimme a f'ng break!!!!


spin may think you're funny.....send him another private email


"curtain call Bob"

pffffffffffffffffffffft

mfl59 said...

"lets go down to an ecstatic NYSE" says the bloomberg anchor...

gimmie a freaking break son

Spin-em said...

Bud whats the difference between a light bulb and a pregnant lady?

Spin-em said...

you can unscrew a light bulb

see no sense of humor what-so-eva

mern said...

another great underated flic!

"u said u never shot a......" (gun)

"i lied"

lol

Bud said...

what movie u guys talkin about??

Bud said...

i know frosty is very excited about Mamma mia this weekend. he loves musicals

f'ng queer

mern said...

my blue heaven

steve martin
rick moranus

Frosty said...

now Bud...just say after me...Bunky is the greatest investor of all time...I'll call off the dogs.

mern said...

im covering my paper short on GOOG i put on 90 days ago at 500.

mern said...

Merrill Lynch’s (MER) abominable second quarter may test this week’s financial-sector rally when trading opens Friday. The New York brokerage posted a continuing operations loss of $4.6 billion, or $4.97 a share, for the quarter ended June 27, reversing the year-ago profit of $2 billion, or $2.24 a share. Revenue plunged to a negative $2.1 billion, reflecting more than $6 billion in writedowns, from $9.5 billion a year ago. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial were looking for a loss of $1.91 a share on revenue of $3.3 billion.

MER splat
GOOG splat
MSFT splat
IBM ok
JPM ok

stagger what?

Frosty said...

earnings?????...no random aaazzzz for which to insert tounge.

Spin-em said...

ohhh sure..now the cat has his tongue..loool