Wednesday, July 23, 2008

A Reprise

"Of late every reflective American reader must have noticed the inaccuracy and imbecility of most of the special correspondence issuing from Washington. In it the frauds, high and low, who flourish in that town are treated with the utmost gravity, and their cheapest and most venal maneuvers are depicted as masterpieces of statecraft. Is this bilge ordered by Wall Street ? I doubt it. Is it demanded by customers of the [media] that [produce] it ? Again I have a doubt. Far easier and more plausible is the explanation that the Washington correspondents write it willingly and in good faith - that they are too stupid to penetrate the fraudulencies by which they are surrounded."

I read the above quote last evening. This paragraph from H. L. Mencken, written for the Chicago Sunday Tribune June 26, 1927, seemed so applicable now over 80 years later that I copied it for today's blog. I'm reading "The Impossible H. L. Mencken", which is a collection of his best newspaper stories published in 1991. He has a gift for the American language and words - in almost every story I find a new $10 word - or even $100 or more words, too.

Now consider this: he wrote for a daily newspaper during the years from about 1900 to about 1948. His columns were read by millions of Americans. Yet I find numerous $10 and $100 words in them. In truth, I cannot remember that last time I found a $10 word in The Wall Street Journal or any modern newspaper or heard one on the television since William F. Buckley retired years ago.

Daily discourse is depressingly dumbed down.

Markets

Oil kept falling. Banks stocks rose again. Perhaps those two bubbles - actually one up-bubble and one down-bubble - are dying.

I have very large positions in BAC, JPM and C as well as GE and CCJ. I have lots of buying power and would like to re-buy sizable postions in AAPL, GOOG, CVX, and DVN, and smaller positions in FCX and EDU, but will be very patient. Beefer rotations out of those stocks might take awhile.

WB was a painful mistake aggravated for me by its rise all day long yesterday. I suppose the statement by the new CEO that new capital wasn't expected to be needed caused the huge short position to cover as they couldn't expect get new shares to fill their borrows. But with no significant dividend anymore, I couldn't see owning it, hence sold my shares. Unfortunately I did it pre-market near the day's low prices. When I decide to sell, I just sell and move on.

PS: I forgot to post the monetary base growth on Monday from Barron's. Year over year monetary base is now growing at 2.1%. That's better. I think it needs to get to 2.5% to be neutral. The Fed is still not accomodative compared to lower range of normal economic growth bands.

Words of the Day
[All of these words are from reading articles of H. L. Mencken.]

"Dubiety" - noun [$10]
Dubiety means 1. a feeling of doubt; 2. a doubtful matter.

"Ofay" - noun [$100]
Ofay is a US slang, offensive word meaning a white person (esp. used by blacks) (20th century probably of African origin).

"Pecksniff" - noun ][$100] from "Pecksniffian"
Pecksniff means a person of Pecksniffian attitutes or behaviors: "a virtuousness that only a pecksniff could aspire to."
Pecksniffian means critically or untuously affecting benevolence or high moral principles.

A "hat trick" sentence: Exposure of Obama's Pecksniffian attitudes towards small town and rural ofay adds to their dubieties about him as a President.

88 comments:

Bud said...

i like the BAC JPM C positions

i do not like GE or CCJ and AAPL only interests me in the 130s

Bud said...

i had a project in college once where i had to go back and read newspapers from the civil war era.......it was alot of fun

i love reading old newspapers......basically for the reason you said......the style of writing and the different words.......many of which are no longer used

Bud said...

the big story the 2nd half of this year will be the resurgant US economy

oil is falling......armageddon in the banks was narrowly avoided

house prices are still falling though.....which is the big problem


'laptops and blackberries'

Bud said...

well looks like we still use dubiety......dubious

and ofay is prolly 'cracker' now.....also 'honky'

Bunkerman said...

CCJ is very long term play for me on nuclear power. I agree re AAPL ... waiting. I wait for GOOG to go lower, too.

GE is a very LT hold for me now. I expect it to go to 40 but not until mid 2009

I'll re-buy CVX, DVN, FCX when the selling dries up, maybe in the fall.

Bunkerman said...

I had never seen "dubiety" before , but dubious is common.

Spin-em said...

"i love reading old newspapers......basically for the reason you said......the style of writing and the different words.......many of which are no longer used"

Did they use your stylish favorite saying in the good ol day?.."gimme a f-ing break"?...

Bunkerman said...

Mencken has another column about some press being written to the level of a 10 year old. I might post some quotes from it soon.

Bud said...

MCD good earnings


what recession??

mfl59 said...

of course MCD had good earnings...have you ever walked around in public? fat boys everywhere....right mern....

Bunkerman said...

Hey, MCD has great food ! High quality ingredients !

Salads, wraps, and of course the double QP with Cheese.

Hmm Mrs. B owns some MCD in her Sky Fund. She had BUD, too. Getting to be a decent stockpicker.

Bud said...

uh.....did you just call the Bman a 'fat boy' ???

Bud said...

evil oil speculators just gettin crushed

where are all the 'decoupling' theory guys?......'india and china demand will take oil to 200 a barrell'

pfffffffffffffffffft


i'd love to see oil crack 100

mfl59 said...

"high quality ingredients"....lmaoooo....of course...lots of lean meats, fruits, vegetables...

no sir...bman is an ex wrestler...no wrestlers are fat boys....your mentor, on the other hand, well........

mern said...

MCD's menu from what i can tell. i seriously have not had fast food in years. has enuff stuff on it, that u can eat there and not walk out 5 minutes from a stroke.

but, since most people have no idea how to eat, and wanna "super size" there life whether its fries or that hummer. most people abuse the MCD menu.

fine ingredients is a joke. on 80% of thier items, they put so much extra sugar, its no wonder 25% of america has diabetes.

now if u really wanna see FAT. go to GA, on a sunday nite, to a KFC. for their all u can eat buffett. u wont find a black women under 400 lbs there.

u cant even hear the music becuase of the wheezing, burping, farting, and queafing.

Frosty said...

"u wont find a black women under 400 lbs there."

"u cant even hear the music becuase of the wheezing, burping, farting, and queafing."

victim shopping hot spot indeed...did we get the wrappers off those new toys...the tongue to the sweeeeeeeet spot.

Bunkerman said...

well I don't eat fries & only drink diet coke from there.

I doubt if the grilled chicken has any sugar. Nor the double cheeseburger or the QPwC or DQPwC

Bunkerman said...

the grilled chicken sandwich, hold the sauce, is a good, nutricious sandwich, altho some people I know do not like the taste of the bun and eat it "bare".

Bunkerman said...

Mrs. B has her QPwC with no bun - just eats with the paper wrapper holding it.

Frosty said...

BuddyBullyBull...are in diving into to the fins today...no worries about a lil' sell the news once the goverment mortgage cheese rolls down the hill.

Bud said...

i love secretary paulson


you da man !!!!!

Bud said...

did they reinstate the uptick rule?

Bud said...

tank is sizzlin this morning

mfl59 said...

are these real buyers in the financials bunkerman?

mfl59 said...

frank the tank?

Bunkerman said...

big build in gasoline ... ominous for oil prices.

mern said...

the bun in that chix sammy is loaded with sugar.

no bob, all toys still wrapped.

lead box (yes i really keep like, like i am cold calling piker rookie) is a little lite. went through some leads, not much there.

may shift my game plan from bars to publix's.

i can be like the guy in happy days who smacked his cart into women he wanted to meet.

my last date did not go well. i went to my fave watering hole, bartender knows im single. she says "hey mark, a miller lite for u, and a ruffiecolada for your date?"

the girl ran away and i got pissed at the bartender. i hadnt even had to time to have her tagged.

low jack indeed.

Bunkerman said...

I doubt it re most fins. Probably still short covering and now momo players. But real buyers can be buying BAC for the dividend; C, too perhaps.

Bunkerman said...

WB sickening me still

Bud said...

CLR darkside by the king yday....what a call!!!!!



'private email'

Bud said...

BAC


great trade Bunkerman

Frosty said...

Bunky I see your fav...the 130/30 funds grew assets 63% in the first half 08'

Bud said...

today feels like a tremendous day to play ping pong


have i told you guys how much i luv playin ping pong !!!!

Frosty said...

BuddyBullyBull...I like BuddyBullyBull...back to nastymcnasty...no bun....ppffttt

Bud said...

if oil doesn't reverse soon........the only way barack obama gets to the white house is as......a gardener or...security guard



PS.....i believe bill richardson will be head of white house landscaping under a mccain presidency......after all.....he is a 'spic'

mfl59 said...

obama will rain jumpers in your face Bud....I wouldnt be surprised if he then posted you up and dunked on you, lzrd style

Bud said...

Obama is black...of course he knows how to hoop

but ...to quote that great american al campanis

'i'm not sure he has the necessities......



go BIG JOHN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

mfl59 said...

lmaoooo

the reverend must tear up when he reads your posts now....like when a father sees his little boy turning into a man....how proud he must be...

mern said...

lol

mern said...

bud u r making the same mistake u made with hilldog.

the force is strong with the dark meat.

there time has come.

old white people are antiquated, as seen by the avg american.

thats y hilldog lost!

Frosty said...

spoken like a true bitterphillyhonky...the valley is back baby...seriously.

Spin-em said...

Big O promising a ride in his Purple Mist to any lazy dark meater who votes....

mfl59 said...

When is the first annual bunkerman golf invitational?

Frosty said...

Bunky..besides eliminating carbs from you woman's diet...what else are you doing to keep her at your target weight.

Bunkerman said...

hmmm I think I let that one go by, frosty, Mrs. B sometimes reads the comments.

mern said...

bob wasnt big mac your third choice?

didnt u have hilldog as lock to be on the tix in feb?

bud for all intensive purposes lives in jew heaven, a ka lots of elephants.

i live in crackerville, which shud be coming out in droves for big mac.

y is it all i see r obama and hildog stickers.

even the cars with conferdate flags have an obama sticker.

most people that vote for mccain r like revy. if those people thought obama wud lower taxes for the rich more than mccain they wud take the dark meat in a second.

obamas fans r much more emotionally committed "to change" whatever that is. they dont know what they need or want, but they want change. and old white men in the white house has been the standard for 225 yrs.

its all about change. mccain is a dinosaur. his tumor has a better chance.

Bunkerman said...

uh ... golf is a rich man's sport.

I go to the range for outdoor sports with the common man.

;-)

Bunkerman said...

I saw little Obama suport in my hometown, mern. Ofay country.

I think he can't carry Ohio.

Bunkerman said...

Hillary could have carried Ohio. Not Obama.

Bud said...

there is no way kunta kinte carries ohio

mfl59 said...

kunta kinte...LMAOOOOOOOO

Spin-em said...

"hmmm I think I let that one go by, frosty, Mrs. B sometimes reads the comments."

perhaps the proper answer is.."Shes perfect just the way she is"
(wink)


Hi Mrs B..loool

mern said...

dont get me wrong. gun to head, with the info ive seen on both, id vote for john.

thankfully no one has a gun to my head, so i can chose to vote for none of the above.

frankly im stunned obama is making this move right now. i really thought hilldog wud fight this until november.

i dont even see the VP's as even making a difference.

the line is drawn

old guy same shit or new guy and crazy shit.

avg american dumb, and tired of same shit, looking to get crazy.

i dont play golf, i dont blow 50 grand blowing up a small piece of america. i hang out on the pitch or sport bars and have many many conversations with the avg american.

and soon i will be on the radio, in philly, discussing the macro. on the adam taxin show. if i get permission from god.

"and the RICH MAN in his summer home
singing just leave well enuff alone.
well his pants are down and his cover blown.
so the kids they dance and shake their bones, and the politicians throwing stones, becuase its ALL TOO CLEAR WE ARE ON ARE OWN....... singin ashes to ashes, we all fall down"

Bunkerman said...

yes that was in my mind, spin.

;-)

mfl59 said...

men forget that crap about golf being a rich man's game....maybe at posh country clubs like Bmans...but check your local muni track on a saturday....youll see jeans shorts...John Deere caps...and sneakers...the true marks of a common man

Spin-em said...

but dont golf on a saturday..cuz ya really dont want to be behind a common man foresome...lol

mern said...

imo, more common folks men and women play soccer, than golf, up to age 50.

mfl59 said...

lmaoooooooooooooooooooo

mern said...

and if u really want to mix it up with the avg american, join a flag football league or softball.

texas hold em clubs are blowing up too.

mern said...

tampa bay club sport has 1 golfing thing every few months.

they have 15 soccer leagues. men, women, coed. all leagues are full.

FSSL has over 100 teams, 18 players per team.

i cant believe they are building a soccer stadium in chester.

who is gonna go to that?

the peeps willing to watch a pro soccer team from philly are from the main line and delaware county.

i dont care if it is like fort knox near the stadium, that demographic is not going into the hood to watch soccer.

Frosty said...

Bunky...I have a bone to pick...BAC appears to me to have lowered loan loss reserves as the prime factor for that earnings beat...when you said investment banking, did you mean improved marks to model?

Spin-em said...

Mrs B... could you register...it would boost our membership 14%

mern said...

rick mahorn

wnba brawls

all that was missing was the rubber knives, with lipstick

lol

mahorn touches lesie, she went flying 20 feet. some chix cold cocks mahorn, twice, and he turned around like a fly was bothering him.

Spin-em said...

hee hee hee...mern said cold cocks

Bud said...

frosty likes warm cocks

Bunkerman said...

hmmm back from Costco.

Seems like "effective" inflation is really less than BLS says. Ex food & energy at least.

They are giving lots of items away at Costco. I wonder if BLS takes into account places like Costco ?

Even at Sears, some tool prices seemed reasonable - I haven't bought any for about 10 years as I had triple sets. But picked up a few items & prices fair.

Bunkerman said...

hmmmm gosh, no speculators in oil .. these moves are "rational supply & demand"

Lmaoooooooooooooooooooooo

mfl59 said...

beef fleeing from resource stocks in droves.....youre either with beef or youre not....

Bunkerman said...

Hmmm "Bank of America approves repurchase of up to 75 mln shares of common stock and declares regular quarterly dividend on common stock of $0.64/share (33.42 +1.05)"

That stock repo is OK IFFFF below book - on dips from here

mfl59 said...

Bud if you want that yahoo # under 10....log onto this site sir...

www.hammergolfshop.com

Bunkerman said...

this guy Plosser is a Herbert Hoover reincarnation

Bunkerman said...

hmmm that was a timely Krypto Fund move out of some gold - that model really works nicely.

Got some VWO near lows, too.

Bud said...

no need

"the claw" is the way to go

i have alot of golf planned in august

that yhoo hcp index shud be fallin like crude

Bud said...

is it just me or does barack obama look like a character in Planet of the Apes??

mern said...

The pace of U.S. economic activity slowed somewhat through mid-July and price pressures were elevated or increasing across the country, the U.S. Federal Reserve said on Wednesday in a report showing evidence of inflation warning signs across the country.

stagger lee 18
mid cycle slowdown 10

and if thats not the score, y did we go into a bear market?

oh yeah, manipulation...........

Bud said...

i agree Bman.....what are all the herbert hoover groupies gonna say when the US economy surges rest of this year ??


the recession and fear mongerers are in for a world of pain......i wonder how the BAC or WFC shorts are feeling these days

Paulson just sodomized them hard......with no lubricant


PS...frosty likes it without lubricant too

mern said...

bud if your hair was pubic like, u cud be his stunt double.

how wud u feel if anyone asked u if you used to be an extra on planet of the apes.

may i remind u, u r debasing our future president.

well if jesse jackson can call him a nigger, who cant, right?

;-)

whoppi made hassleback cry. lol, there is no crying in politics, unless u hildog!

Bunkerman said...

I don't get it frosty: allowance for loan & lease losses rose to 1.98% of loans & leases vs. 1.71% in Q1. That's up.

$ provision for credit losses were down a bit, but actual $ charge offs were up a lot more.

Net interest income was up

mfl59 said...

anyone have the list of oil stocks that arent allowed to be shorted? thanks in advance....

Frosty said...

big change in the numerator as a result of increased loss regconition, the higher ratio would indicate the quality performing assets is lower.

mern said...

big change in the numerator as a result of increased loss regconition, the higher ratio would indicate the quality performing assets is lower.

come on bob

"ITS ALL BALL BEARINGS THESE DAYS!"

mern said...

name that movie?!

Frosty said...

net interest income attributed to lower cost and higher dependence on the fed window.

Spin-em said...

lmaoooooooooooooooo chevy

Bunkerman said...

all stocks can be shorted, but some banks require one to short "real" shares, not virtual ones.

;-)

mern said...

Fed: Slower growth, rising prices slam economy
Wednesday July 23, 3:38 pm ET
By Jeannine Aversa, AP Economics Writer
Fed: Country hit by double whammy of slower grow, rising prices

;-)

mern said...

welp now the fed is singing stagger lee.

is there no one disputing stagger lee at this point. i mean seriously, if the fed is saying it (and u know they dont want to, especially with dark meat looking to lock down washington ave) i mean, uh, its kinda like game over on that debate, right?

now when do we get out of it?

thank god oil is only up 25% ytd.

i see president mush is finally getting something named after him.

A SEWAGE TREATMENT PLANT IN SF.

ROFLLLLLLLLLL

Bunkerman said...

I dispute "stagerlee"

No recession. Too soon to call this "stagnation" - you need four quarters of GDP growth under 2%, so far there is jus t1.

Core inflation is too low for "inflation

There are oil & food price increases caused by demand and supply problems and index fund buying and speculators. Some economic problems due to housing bubble and rich man's panic. All three are causing low growth - a mid-cycle slowdown and re-adjustment.

That's it. No systemic stagflation.