Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Ropa-Dope?

The S&P danced thru the old high, but fell back onto the ropes slightly below when the bears thru some right hands. The close was still a gain & the bulls won the round anyway. Beefer bears were unable to manufacture a technical sell signal to start a stampede. They'll try again today, I think, but I hope the real buyers just do the ropa-dope a few days like they did at the old Dow long term high around 11,800 a few months ago. This moves stock in stronger hands of real buyers, and sets up the beefer bear shorts for a flurry & knockout move up.

Check out that great movie, "When We Were Kings" [an Academy Award winning documentary] for a wonderful look at that great historical boxing event, the "Rumble in the Jungle" 1974 heavyweight championship fight between Muhammed ALi & George Foreman where Ali used the "ropa-dope" to beat Foreman.

PS: Started a natural gas position. I like the chart & hot summer plus hurricane prospects seem favorable for a long. Beefers were short & covering in last week's COT report. Very risky.

PPS: I'm very UN-IMPRESSED with the Fed governor, Lacker. He seems way too young & inexperienced and seems to be missing big factors, such as demographics, etc. This inflation-phobia of his seems very wrong and he doesn't seem capable of recognizing his errors last year dissenting & wanting more rate hikes. I found out yesterday a friend of mine who had been doing real estate legal work for many years lost her job three months ago. I think we need more unemployment among economists & Fed governors so they get some realistic experience.

P^3S: Some broad selling in many commodities today. I remember that at the end of last month that a similar sell-off occured. I wonder if index fund re-balancing is occuring or if asset allocations caused both. I'll monitor this. If it occurs next month, too, I think that will determine the cause.

7 comments:

Bud said...

What a fight that was. I remember watching it as a young boy with my father and brother. The 70s were great in the heavyweight division. Ali, Foreman, Frazier, Norton......some great fights.

Bud said...

What is the stock to trade that moves most in line with nat gas? Is there a nat gas etf?

Bunkerman said...

I don't know, Bud. CHK moves some with it. Mern might know a better one. The Gulf ones can get hurt in a hurricane, though. I don't think there is a nat gas ETF.

Traders used to play NGAS, NGS, GMXR, XTO, etc.

Bunkerman said...

Yes, the 1970s were a golden era for the Heavyweights: Ali, Frazier, Norton, Foreman. Many great fights.

mfl59 said...

try UNG for a natural gas etf...it is a fairly new product...

mern said...

ECA, HK (old HAWK) too.

and the first sign of a strong hurricane hitting the gulf, buy FUEL. mobile fueling, LOL, they r like CDE. cant their manage business.

bud coming to lauderdale on fri morn, leave monday nite. staying in south beach, with crazy ray. i think we using his boat saturday for some fishing. u r more than welcome to come, but if i know ray, im expecting to snow all weekend.(ill leave shoveling the driveway to cindy and ray. ive gotta study and like the warmer weather anyway)

tell rosey to email me, ill bring the cds i owe him, with me. id like to meet rosey and dooz if i get the chance.

time to hit the books again. yesterday had a nasty nasty head stuffage. only got through 40 pages yesterday. reading with a pounding headache isnt fun.

him em hard, ill be cheering for u guys

;-)

Bunkerman said...

Too nice a day to sit staring at the flashing colored lights. I'm going outside. Good luck.